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Vivarium OperationsFree in-browser calculator

Multi-Strain Census Forecaster.

Project cage counts across multiple strains over time. See when your facility hits peak load, which strain drives it, and what it will cost in per-diem housing.

PrivateData stays in your browser
LiveNo sign-up required
Validated2026-04-07
CitableMethods and citation included

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Load example multi-strain census forecaster data to see the full workflow

Forecast Settings

Strain 1

e.g., 0.10 = +10%/mo, -0.15 = -15%/mo

Required fields
  • Strain 1: name is required.

When to use

  • Planning facility capacity for the next 6–24 months across all active strains
  • Justifying new rack or room requests to facility management
  • Budgeting per-diem housing costs for a multi-aim grant application
  • Modeling the timeline to phase out one strain while expanding another
  • Preparing for IACUC review when they ask about total facility impact

Do not use for

  • For single-strain projections — use the Colony Expansion Forecaster instead
  • For detailed breeding kinetics (litter timing, weaning schedules) — this is aggregate cages, not individual animals
  • As a real-time dashboard — ConductColony does that from live census data

Use historical growth rates, not theoretical

If your C57BL/6J colony grew from 40 to 52 cages last quarter, your actual monthly rate is about 9%. Use that, not the 15% your breeding plan assumed. Overestimating growth leads to unnecessary facility requests; underestimating leads to capacity crises.

Model phase-outs explicitly — colonies don't disappear overnight

Even a "discontinued" strain takes 2–3 months to fully phase out. Aging cohorts still occupy cages. Model phase-out with a -15% to -25% monthly rate and plan for the tail.

The peak month is your planning target

The most important number is when total cages peak and at what level. If peak exceeds capacity, you need to either delay an expansion, accelerate a phase-out, or request more space — and you need to do it months before the peak hits.

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Method

Each strain is projected independently using monthly compound growth: cages(t+1) = round(cages(t) ×\times (1 + rate)). Expansion strains are capped at the user-defined cage limit. Phase-out strains are floored at zero. Monthly totals are summed across strains. Per-diem cost uses the average cage count between consecutive months ×\times 30.44 days ×\times rate. All computation is client-side.

2

Validated

Last validated 2026-04-07. Calculations are designed for planning and documentation support; verify procurement decisions against manufacturer specifications or institutional SOPs.

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How to cite

How to Cite

ConductScience Multi-Strain Cage Census Forecaster (v1.13.0). ConductScience, Inc. 2026. Available at: https://conductscience.com/tools/multi-strain-census-forecaster

National Research Council. Guide for the Care and Use of Laboratory Animals. 8th ed. Washington, DC: National Academies Press; 2011.

Why multi-strain census forecasting matters

Facility capacity is a shared resource

Most vivaria operate at 70–90% capacity. When three PIs simultaneously expand their colonies, the facility hits 100% before anyone expects it. Multi-strain forecasting lets you see the aggregate impact of all colony decisions — not just your own.

Key planning questions this tool answers: - When will total cage count peak, and how many cages? - Which strain is driving the capacity crunch? - How much will housing cost over the next 12 months? - If we phase out Strain X, how much capacity does that free up? - Can we start a new strain without exceeding capacity?
Expansion vs maintenance vs phase-out: Real colonies are always a mix. Some strains are actively expanding for a new grant, others are in steady-state maintenance, and others are being retired. Modeling all three simultaneously gives you a realistic facility forecast.

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