Rolling feed cost projections help producers plan cash flow and evaluate the economics of diet changes. The framework:
Daily cost = (Feed per pig/day
× Pigs)
× (Feed price/ton
÷ 2000)
Projecting 30 days forward provides a single-month cash requirement for feed, which can be compared against expected revenue at market weight. Sensitivity analysis — varying feed price ±$25/ton — shows the range of outcomes and informs decision-making on forward contracts.
Practical benchmarks (2023–2026 corn-soy rations):
-
0.80–1.00/pig/day:Low−costscenario(corn<4.50/bu, SBOM <$350/ton)
- $1.00–1.20/pig/day: Typical scenario
- $1.20–1.50/pig/day: High-cost scenario (drought years, basis disruptions)
Export the CSV and track these figures monthly to spot trends before they erode margins.