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223 results for “future changes”
Data from: Future climate change is predicted to affect the microbiome and condition of habitat-forming kelp
Climate change is driving global declines of marine habitat-forming species through physiological effects and through changes to ecological interactions, with projected trajectories for oceanwarming and acidification likely to exacerbate such impacts in coming decades. Interactions between habitat-formers and their microbiomes are fundamental for host functioning and resilience, but how such relationships will change in future conditions is largely unknown. We investigated independent and interactive effects of warming and acidification on a large brown seaweed, the kelp Ecklonia radiata, and its associated microbiome in experimental mesocosms. Microbial communities were affected by warming and, during the first week, by acidification. During the second week, kelp developed disease-like symptoms previously observed in the field. The tissue of some kelp blistered, bleached and eventually degraded, particularly under the acidification treatments, affecting photosynthetic efficiency. Microbial communities differed between blistered and healthy kelp for all treatments, except for those under future conditions of warming and acidification, which after two weeks resembled assemblages associated with healthy hosts. This indicates that changes in the microbiome were not easily predictable as the severity of future climate scenarios increased. Future ocean conditions can change kelp microbiomes and may lead to host disease, with potentially cascading impacts on associated ecosystems.
Data accompanying Jonko et al. "How will future climate change impact prescribed fire across the contiguous United States?"
<p>This CSV file contains prescription information for 83 location across the United States which was analyzed in the publication Jonko, A., J. Oliveto, T. Beaty, A. Atchley, M.A. Battaglia, M.B. Dickinson, M.R. Gallagher, A. Gilbert, D. Godwin, J.A. Kupfer, J.K. Hiers, C. Hoffman, M. North, J. Restaino, C. Sieg, and N. Skowronski: "How will future climate change impact prescribed fire across the contiguous Unites States?", submitted to npj Climate and Atmospheric Science. Please contact the corresponding author at ajonko@lanl.gov if you are interested in using this data in your own research.</p>
The fate of Meconopsis species in the Tibeto-Himalayan region under future climate change
<p>High-mountain areas such as the Tibeto-Himalayan region (THR) host cold-adapted biota expected to be sensitive to anthropogenic climate change. <i>Meconopsis</i> is a representative endangered genus confined to alpine meadow or subnival habitats in the THR. To obtain occurrence data for <i>Meconopsis</i> species found in the THR and adjacent regions, we used records from the Chinese Virtual Herbarium (CVH: <a href="http://www.cvh.org.cn/"><span>http://www.cvh.org.cn/</span></a>), the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF: <a href="http://www.gbif.org/">http://www.gbif.org/</a>), and the published literature (He et al., 2019). We only used occurrence data collected after 1950, and removed duplicate records found within a 5-kilometer diameter. Our dataset for ten species of <i>Meconopsis </i>are the numbers of records per species ranging from 17 to 228. For these ten <i>Meconopsis</i> species, we identified potential future climate refugia and determined optimal routes for each species to disperse to the proposed refugia. Our results indicate that for the ten <i>Meconopsis</i> species the regions with low vulnerability to climate change in the THR are the central Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, the Hengduan Mountains (HDM), the eastern Himalayas, and the West Qinlin Mountain (WQL), and can be considered potential future climate refugia. Under future climate change, we found for the ten <i>Meconopsis</i> species potential dispersal routes to three of the four identified refugia: the HDM, the eastern Himalayas, and the WQL. <i> </i>Furthermore, climate change may affect the threat ranking of Red Listed Species for <i>Meconopsis</i> species, as Least Concern species were estimated to become more vulnerable to climate change than the only Near Threatened species.</p>
Effects of future climate change on the forests of Madagascar
<p>Global climate change is continuing to occur at an alarming rate. In addition to increases in global weather extremes, melting of polar ice caps and subsequent sea level-rises, climate change is known to directly impact the life-cycles and ecologies of many animals and plants. Whilst climate change is projected to result in substantial geographic range and habitat contractions for many species in the future, the effects of climate change on many habitats of conservation-concern remain poorly understood. In this study, we investigated how future climate change is projected to impact the occurrence and distribution of four major forest types of Madagascar, a global biodiversity hotspot and conservation priority, over the next 60 years. We also compared how climate change effects vary among the four forest types under a "mitigation" climate forecast, and under a "business-as-usual" trajectory. As expected, our models suggest that future climate change will affect the distribution of the four forest types under both trajectories, and forest occurrence is likely to decrease if mean temperatures, temperature seasonality, and precipitation rates increase as predicted. The exception being that forest gain is predicted to occur in the north-west of Madagascar, resulting in a small increase in transitional forest area under the "business-as-usual" climate change trajectory. Our study highlights that unmitigated climate change will have a negative impact on Madagascar's forests during the period up to the year 2080, and climate change therefore needs to be mitigated. Madagascar remains a global conservation priority, and urgent conservation action and protective legislation is required to safeguard the future of its native forest.</p>
Avian seed dispersal may be insufficient for plants to track future temperature change on tropical mountains - data
<span><b>Abstract</b></span> <p><strong>Aim</strong>: Climate change causes species' range shifts globally. Terrestrial plant species often lag behind temperature shifts, and it is unclear to what extent animal-dispersed plants can track climate change. Here, we estimate the ability of bird-dispersed plant species to track future temperature change on a tropical mountain.</p> <p><b>Location: </b>Tropical elevational gradient (500–3500 m a.s.l.) in the Manú biosphere reserve, Peru</p> <p><b>Time period: </b>1960–1990 to 2061–2080</p> <p><b>Taxa: </b>Fleshy-fruited plants, avian frugivores</p> <p><b>Methods: </b>Using simulations based on the functional traits of avian frugivores and fruiting plants, we quantified the number of long-distance dispersal (LDD) events that woody plant species would require to track projected temperature shifts on a tropical mountain by the year 2070 under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5). We applied this approach to 343 bird-dispersed woody plant species.</p> <p><b>Results:</b> Our simulations reveal that bird-dispersed plants differ in their climate-tracking ability, with large-fruited and canopy plants exhibiting a higher climate-tracking ability. Our simulations also suggest that even under scenarios of strong and intermediate mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions (RCP 2.6 and 4.5), sufficient upslope dispersal would require several LDD events by 2070, which is unlikely for the majority of woody plant species. Furthermore, the ability of plant species to track future temperature changes increased in simulations with a low degree of trait matching between plants and birds, suggesting that plants in generalised seed-dispersal systems may be more resilient to climate change.</p> <p><b>Main conclusion:</b> Our study illustrates how plant and animal functional traits can inform predictive models of species dispersal and range shifts under climate change and suggests that the biodiversity of tropical mountain ecosystems is highly vulnerable to future warming. The increasing availability of functional trait data for plants and animals globally will allow parameterisation of similar models for many other seed-dispersal systems.</p>
Supplementary material 3 from: Dickey JWE, Cuthbert RN, Rea M, Laverty C, Crane K, South J, Briski E, Chang X, Coughlan NE, MacIsaac HJ, Ricciardi A, Riddell GE, Xu M, Dick JTA (2018) Assessing the relative potential ecological impacts and invasion risks of emerging and future invasive alien species. NeoBiota 40: 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.40.28519
R Script Biplot Creation :
Supplementary material 5 from: Dickey JWE, Cuthbert RN, Rea M, Laverty C, Crane K, South J, Briski E, Chang X, Coughlan NE, MacIsaac HJ, Ricciardi A, Riddell GE, Xu M, Dick JTA (2018) Assessing the relative potential ecological impacts and invasion risks of emerging and future invasive alien species. NeoBiota 40: 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.40.28519
Outlining RIP and RIR data :
Supplementary material 1 from: Dickey JWE, Cuthbert RN, Rea M, Laverty C, Crane K, South J, Briski E, Chang X, Coughlan NE, MacIsaac HJ, Ricciardi A, Riddell GE, Xu M, Dick JTA (2018) Assessing the relative potential ecological impacts and invasion risks of emerging and future invasive alien species. NeoBiota 40: 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.40.28519
Table S1 The locations of the 20 pet shops surveyed across Northern Ireland :
Supplementary material 4 from: Dickey JWE, Cuthbert RN, Rea M, Laverty C, Crane K, South J, Briski E, Chang X, Coughlan NE, MacIsaac HJ, Ricciardi A, Riddell GE, Xu M, Dick JTA (2018) Assessing the relative potential ecological impacts and invasion risks of emerging and future invasive alien species. NeoBiota 40: 1-24. https://doi.org/10.3897/neobiota.40.28519
R Script Triplot Creation :
Climate Change and Myanmar's Future
<p>During the Sabai Webinar Series 17, hosted by the Shwetaungthagathu Reform Initiative Centre (SRIc), Burmese Experts, including Dr Aung Tun Oo, a Postdoctoral Researcher from the University of Urbino and Tin Shine Aung, Director of SRIc and PhD Candidate in Sustainability Science engaged in a discussion to explore the impact of climate change on Myanmar’s agriculture, vulnerable communities, and the need for proactive planning. </p> <p>Given Myanmar’s increasing vulnerability to climate change, this webinar offers crucial insights and practical advice for addressing the challenges ahead. </p>
Long-term environmental changes in the Canadian boreal zone: Synthesizing temporal trends from lake sediment archives to inform future sustainability
<ul> <li>Lead (Pb) concentration and chlorophyll <em>a</em> data</li> </ul> <p>Original publication: Gros, M., Zilkey D. R., Griffiths, K. T., Pham, J., MacKeigan, P. W., Taranu, Z. E., Aulard, C., Baud, A., Garner, R. E., Ghanbari, H., Lachapelle, M., Monchamp, M-È, Paquette, C., Antoniades, D., Francus, P., Smol, J. P. & Gregory-Eaves, I. (2023). Long-term environmental changes in the Canadian boreal zone: Synthesizing temporal trends from lake sediment archives to inform future sustainability. <em>Environmental Reviews</em>, <em>31</em>(3). https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2023-0006.</p>
Supplementary analysis 2 for Vitamin D status during adolescence and the impact of lifestyle changes – two years follow-up from the Fit Futures Study
<p>Supplementary analysis 2: multiple regression model excluding those with recent UV-exposure.</p>
Evaluating the effects of land-use change and future climate change on vulnerability of coastal landscapes to saltwater intrusion
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Data from: Acoustic and camera surveys inform models of current and future vertebrate distributions in a changing desert ecosystem
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Avian seed dispersal may be insufficient for plants to track future temperature change on tropical mountains
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Data from: Malaria transmission potential could be reduced with current and future climate change
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Effects of future climate change on the forests of Madagascar
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Pollution control can help mitigate future climate change impacts on European grayling in the UK
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The fate of Meconopsis species in the Tibeto-Himalayan region under future climate change
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Data from: Future climate change is predicted to affect the microbiome and condition of habitat-forming kelp
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These curated guides explain access requirements, typical timelines, costs, and reuse considerations for widely used research datasets.
Allen Brain Atlas
Allen Brain Atlas is an Allen Institute collection of brain map atlases, datasets, APIs, and analysis tools covering mouse, human, and non-human primate brain resources.
Annotated Behaviour and Observability Dataset (ABODe)
ABODe is a University of Edinburgh DataShare dataset for behavior classification in group-housed mice using home-cage video, identities, bounding boxes, ground-plate positions, and annotator labels.
DANDI Archive for NWB datasets
DANDI is a BRAIN Initiative archive for publishing and sharing neurophysiology data, including electrophysiology, optophysiology, and behavioral data packaged as NWB and related standards.
International Brain Laboratory public data
The International Brain Laboratory public data releases expose standardized mouse decision-making experiments, including Neuropixels recordings, widefield calcium imaging, behavior, and session metadata accessed through the ONE API.
OpenNeuro
OpenNeuro is a free, open platform for sharing neuroimaging datasets, with public search, dataset pages, and download paths for web, S3, DataLad, and the OpenNeuro CLI.