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223 results for “future changes”

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zenodo36/100

Convection-permitting projections of future changes in water balance and groundwater-surface water interactions

This dataset consists of processed data in the manuscript of "Convection-permitting projections of future changes in water balance and groundwater-surface water interactions".

opencc-by-4.0Apr 2023View details →

dryad36/100

Data from: Conservation of Chinese Theaceae species under future climate and land use changes

Aim: Climate and land use changes are two major pervasive and growing global causes of rapid changes in the distribution patterns of biodiversity, challenging the future effectiveness of protected areas (PAs), which were mainly designed based on a static view of biodiversity. Therefore, evaluating the effectiveness of protected areas for protecting the species threatened by climate and land use change is critical for future biodiversity conservation. Location: China Methods: Here, using distributions of 200 Chinese Theaceae species and ensemble species distribution models, we identified species threatened by future climate and land use change (i.e. species with predicted loss of suitable habitat ≥ 30%) under scenarios incorporating climate change, land use change and dispersal. We then estimate the richness distribution patterns of threatened species and identify priority conservation areas and conservation gaps of the current PA network. Results: Our results suggest that 36.30%-51.85% of Theaceae species will be threatened by future climate and land use conditions, and that although the threatened species are mainly distributed at low latitudes in China under both current and future periods, the mean richness of the threatened species per grid cell will decline by 0.826-3.188 species by the 2070s. Moreover, we found that these priority conservation areas are highly fragmented and that the current PA network only covers 14.21%-20.87% of the 'areas worth exploring' and 6.91%-7.91% of the 'areas worth attention'. Main conclusions: Our findings highlight the necessity of establishing new protected areas and ecological corridors in priority conservation areas to protect the threatened species. Moreover, our findings also highlight the importance of taking into consideration the potential threatened species under future climate and land use conditions when designating priority areas for biodiversity conservation.

opencc-zeroJun 2023View details →

dryad36/100

A secure future? Human urban and agricultural land use benefits a flightless island-endemic rail despite climate change

Identifying environmental characteristics that limit species' distributions is important for contemporary conservation and inferring responses to future environmental change. The Tasmanian native hen is an island-endemic flightless rail and a survivor of a prehistoric extirpation event. Little is known about the regional-scale environmental characteristics influencing the distribution of native hens, or how their future distribution might be impacted by environmental shifts (e.g., climate change). Using a combination of local fieldwork and species distribution modelling, we assess environmental factors shaping the contemporary distribution of the native hen, and project future distribution changes under predicted climate change. We find 37.2% of Tasmania is currently suitable for the native hens, owing to low summer precipitation, low elevation, human-modified vegetation, and urban areas. Moreover, in unsuitable regions, urban areas can create 'oases' of habitat, able to support populations with high breeding activity by providing resources and buffering against environmental constraints. Under climate change predictions, native hens were predicted to lose only 5% of their occupied range by 2055. We conclude that the species is resilient to climate change and benefits overall from anthropogenic landscape modifications. As such, this constitutes a rare example of a flightless rail to have adapted to human activity.

opencc-zeroJul 2023View details →

zenodo36/100

Dataset underlying the study "Changes in longevity, parasitization rate and development time of the whitefly parasitoid Encarsia formosa under future climate conditions"

This dataset is underlying the scientific publication titled "Changes in longevity, parasitization rate and development time of the whitefly parasitoid Encarsia formosa under future climate conditions", published in the <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/biological-control">Biological Control </a>journal.  The first section of the dataset provides the meterological parameters used to drive climate chambers for the experiments conducted by LIST and UNICT researchers. The second section of the dataset provides a graphical representation, including the relevant metadata, of the survival rate of adult Encarsia formosa (a whitefly biocontrol agent) under various climate conditions. The third and final section of the dataset includes an overview of the whitefly parasitization rate of Encarsia formosa according to the different parameters of the experiments undertaken by the LIST and UNICT scientists. The provided figures and tables in the dataset are further discussed and interpreted in detail, as well as their subsequent results, in the scientific publication. This research was conducted within the VIRTIGATION project, which is part of the EU Open Research Data pilot. This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No. 101000570.

opencc-by-4.0Sep 2023View details →

dryad36/100