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126 results for “occupancy modelling”
Data from: Manipulating wetland hydroperiod to improve occupancy rates by an endangered amphibian: modelling management scenarios
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Data from: Mapping and explaining wolf recolonization in France using dynamic occupancy models and opportunistic data
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Bayesian N-mixture and occupancy modeling code for songbirds
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Data from: Novel application of explicit dynamics occupancy models to ongoing aquatic invasions
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Data from: Modelling the area of occupancy of habitat types with remote sensing
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Data from: A multispecies occupancy model for two or more interacting species
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Data from: Using camera trapping and hierarchical occupancy modelling to evaluate the spatial ecology of an African mammal community
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Data from: Modelling misclassification in multi-species acoustic data when estimating occupancy and relative activity
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Data from: Distribution models and a dated phylogeny for Chilean Oxalis species reveal occupation of new habitats by different lineages, not rapid adaptive radiation
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Data from: Occupancy models for citizen-science data
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Data from: Penalized likelihood methods improve parameter estimates in occupancy models
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Data from: Occupancy models for data with false positive and false negative errors and heterogeneity across sites and surveys
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Data: Using environmental DNA and occupancy modeling to estimate rangewide metapopulation dynamics
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Automated bird sound classifications of long-duration recordings produce occupancy model outputs similar to manually annotated data
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A multi-state occupancy modeling framework for robust estimation of disease prevalence in multi-tissue disease systems
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Data from: Multi-trophic occupancy modeling connects temporal dynamics of woodpeckers and beetle sign following fire
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Predictive multi-scale occupancy models at range-wide extents: effects of habitat and human disturbance on distributions of wetland birds
<p><span><i>Aim:</i> Predicting distributions is fundamental to ecology, yet hindered by spatially-restricted sampling, scale-dependent relationships, and detection error associated with field surveys. Predictive species distribution models (SDMs) are nonetheless vital for conservation of many species. We developed a framework for building predictive SDMs with multi-scale data, and used it to develop range-wide breeding-season SDMs for 14 marsh bird species of concern.</span></p> <p><span><i>Location: </i>USA.</span></p> <p><span><i>Methods: </i>We built SDMs using data from range-wide surveys conducted over 14 years, and habitat and disturbance covariates measured at multiple spatial scales. We built hierarchical occupancy models that included heterogeneity in detectability during sampling, and used Bayesian model selection to regulate model complexity (covariates and scales) based explicitly on spatial predictive abilities. We thus integrated model selection for optimizing out-of-sample prediction, range-wide sampling over broad conditions, multi-scale analyses and scale-optimization, and species-specific detectability for a suite of wide-ranging species. </span></p> <p><span><i>Results: </i>Distributions of marsh birds were affected by local wetland conditions, but also by agricultural, urban, and hydrologic disturbances operating from local scales (100 – 500 m) to the watershed level. Variables measuring human disturbances improved prediction for most species, and every species was affected by attributes at > 1 scale. Five species showed evidence for continental-scale range contraction during the study.</span></p> <p><span><i>Main conclusions: </i>We demonstrate how hierarchical occupancy models can be optimized for prediction across a species' range at the extent of a continent while also accounting for imperfect detection, and thus describe a generalizable approach that can be used for any species. We provide the first data-driven, empirical SDMs built at the range-wide extent for most of our 14 study species and demonstrate that previous studies focused on local distributions and the effects of fine-scale wetland vegetation missed important broad-scale drivers of occupancy for marsh birds. </span></p>
Data from: Effect of detection heterogeneity in occupancy-detection models: an experimental test of time-to-first-detection methods
Imperfect detection can bias estimates of site occupancy in ecological surveys but can be corrected by estimating detection probability. Time-to-first-detection (TTD) occupancy models have been proposed as a cost-effective survey method that allows detection probability to be estimated from single site visits. Nevertheless, few studies have validated the performance of occupancy-detection models by creating a situation where occupancy is known, and model outputs can be compared with the truth. We tested the performance of TTD occupancy models in the face of detection heterogeneity using an experiment based on standard survey methods to monitor koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) populations in Australia. Known numbers of koala faecal pellets were placed under trees, and observers, uninformed as to which trees had pellets under them, carried out a TTD survey. We fitted five TTD occupancy models to the survey data, each making different assumptions about detectability, to evaluate how well each estimated the true occupancy status. Relative to the truth, all five models produced strongly biased estimates, overestimating detection probability and underestimating the number of occupied trees. Despite this, goodness-of-fit tests indicated that some models fitted the data well, with no evidence of model misfit. Hence, TTD occupancy models that appear to perform well with respect to the available data may be performing poorly. The reason for poor model performance was unaccounted for heterogeneity in detection probability, which is known to bias occupancy-detection models. This poses a problem because unaccounted for heterogeneity could not be detected using goodness-of-fit tests and was only revealed because we knew the experimentally determined outcome. A challenge for occupancy-detection models is to find ways to identify and mitigate the impacts of unobserved heterogeneity, which could unknowingly bias many models.
Data from: Dynamic occupancy modeling reveals a hierarchy of competition among fishers, grey foxes, and ringtails
1. Determining how species coexist is critical for understanding functional diversity, niche partitioning and interspecific interactions. Identifying the direct and indirect interactions among sympatric carnivores that enable their coexistence are particularly important to elucidate because they are integral for maintaining ecosystem function. 2. We studied the effects of removing 9 fishers (Pekania pennanti) on their population dynamics and used this perturbation to elucidate the interspecific interactions among fishers, grey foxes (Urocyon cinereoargenteus), and ringtails (Bassariscus astutus). Grey foxes (family: Canidae) are likely to compete with fishers due to their similar body sizes and dietary overlap, and ringtails (family: Procyonidae), like fishers, are semi-arboreal species of conservation concern. We used spatial capture-recapture to investigate fisher population numbers and dynamic occupancy models that incorporated interspecific interactions to investigate the effects members of these species had on the colonization and persistence of each other's site occupancy. 3. The fisher population showed no change in density for up to three years following the removals of fishers for translocations. In contrast, fisher site occupancy decreased in the years immediately following the translocations. During this same time period, site occupancy by grey foxes increased and remained elevated through the end of the study. 4. We found a complicated hierarchy among fishers, foxes, and ringtails. Fishers affected grey fox site persistence negatively but had a positive effect on their colonization. Foxes had a positive effect on ringtail site colonization. Thus, fishers were the dominant small carnivore where present and negatively affected foxes directly and ringtails indirectly. 5. Coexistence among the small carnivores we studied appears to reflect dynamic spatial partitioning. Conservation and management efforts should investigate how intraguild interactions may influence the recolonization of carnivores to previously occupied landscapes.
Data from: A multi-state dynamic occupancy model to estimate local colonization-extinction rates and patterns of co-occurrence between two or more interacting species
1. Although ecology is rife with theory that explores how multiple species co-occur through space and time, the field lacks robust statistical models to parameterize this theory with empirical data, particularly when species are detected imperfectly and data are collected as a time-series. 2. We address this need by developing an occupancy model that estimates local colonization and extinction rates for two or more interacting species when data are collected across multiple sampling occasions. This model estimates how community composition at a site may change across sampling occasions by assuming the latent occupancy state is a categorical random variable. We used a multinomial-logit model to parameterize species-specific parameters and pairwise interactions between species, both of which can be made a function of covariates. These transition probabilities between community states can then be converted to occupancy or co-occurrence probabilities to determine how community composition varies along an environmental gradient or through time. 3. As an example, we estimate patterns of co-occurrence between coyote (Canis latrans), Virginia opossum (Didelphis virginiana), and raccoon (Procyon lotor) in Chicago, Illinois, USA with data from a multi-year camera trapping study. Models with pairwise interactions between species greatly out performed models that assumed independence between species. Opossum and raccoon, for example, were far less likely to go extinct in habitat patches where coyotes were present. 4. Community composition at a site depends on species interactions and the local environment. Our model can separate such effects by estimating the underlying processes that define species occurrence patterns. As a result, our model can more explicitly quantify a wide range of ecological dynamics and therefore be used to empirically test ecological theory, such as estimating priority effects at a site or turnover rates between species, both of which can be made to vary as a function of covariates.
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Allen Brain Atlas
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Annotated Behaviour and Observability Dataset (ABODe)
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