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15 results for “Bayes factors”
Monthly fluorescence parallel factor analysis (PARAFAC) components for Shark River Slough, Taylor Slough, and Florida Bay, Everglades National Park (FCE LTER), Florida, USA, April 2011 - ongoing
Dissolved organic matter plays an important role in biogeochemical processes in aquatic environments such as elemental cycling, microbial loop energetics, and the transport of materials across landscapes. Since most of N (> 90%) and P (around 90%) is in the organic form in the oligotrophic subtropical Florida Coastal Everglades (FCE), study of the source and dynamics of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in the ecosystem is crucial for the better understanding of the biogeochemical cycling of nutrients. FCE are composed of estuaries with distinct regions with different biogeochemical processes. Freshwater marsh primarily receives terrestrial input and local autochthonous vegetation production. Mangrove ecotone, nevertheless, is affected by the tidal contributions from Florida Bay and local mangrove production. Florida Bay (FB) is a wedge-shaped shallow oligotrophic estuary which lays south of the Everglades, the bottom of which is covered with a dense biomass of seagrass. The sources of both freshwater and nutrients in FCE are difficult to quantify, owing to the non-point source nature of runoff from the Everglades and the dendritic cross channels in the mangroves. Furthermore, the combination of multiple DOM sources (freshwater marsh vegetation, mangroves, phytoplankton, seagrass, etc.), and the potential seasonal variability of their relative contribution, along with the history of (photo)chemical and microbial diagenetic processing, and complex advective circulation, makes the study of DOM dynamics in FCE particularly difficult using standard schemes of estuarine ecology. Quantitative information of DOM is very useful to investigate the biogeochemical cycling of DOM to a certain degree, however, qualitative information is necessary to better understand the source and dynamics of DOM. Since fluorescence spectroscopic techniques are very sensitive, quick and simple, they have been applied to investigate the fate of DOM in estuaries. Here, we have quantified a series of
Investigating morphological complexes using informational dissonance and bayes factors: A case study in corbiculate bees
<p>It is widely recognized that different regions of a genome often have different evolutionary histories and that ignoring this variation when estimating phylogenies can be misleading. However, the extent to which this is also true for morphological data is still largely unknown. Discordance among morphological traits might plausibly arise due to either variable convergent selection pressures or else phenomena such as hemiplasy. Here we investigate patterns of discordance among 282 morphological characters, which we scored for 50 bee species particularly targeting corbiculate bees, a group that includes the well-known eusocial honeybees and bumblebees. As a starting point for selecting the most meaningful partitions in the data, we grouped characters as morphological modules, highly integrated trait complexes that as a result of developmental constraints or coordinated selection we expect to share an evolutionary history and trajectory. In order to assess conflict and coherence across and within these morphological modules, we used recently developed approaches for computing Bayesian phylogenetic information allied with model comparisons using Bayes factors. We found that despite considerable conflict among morphological complexes, accounting for among-character and among-partition rate variation with individual gamma distributions, rate multipliers, and linked branch lengths can lead to coherent phylogenetic inference using morphological data. We suggest that evaluating information content and dissonance among partitions is useful step in estimating phylogenies from morphological data, just as it is with molecular data. Furthermore, we argue that adopting emerging approaches for investigating dissonance in genomic datasets may provide new insights into the integration and evolution of anatomical complexes.</p>
Ground obeservation data (meteorological factors and air pollution) in Greater Bay Area, 2015 - 2021
<p>Ground observation data used in the paper <em>Development of an LSTM-Broadcasting deep-learning framework for regional air pollution forecast improvement</em>.</p>
Identifying the best approximating model in Bayesian phylogenetics: Bayes factors, cross-validation or wAIC?
<p>There is still no consensus as to how to select models in Bayesian phylogenetics, and more generally in applied Bayesian statistics. Bayes factors are often presented as the method of choice, yet other approaches have been proposed, such as cross-validation or information criteria. Each of these paradigms raises specific computational challenges, but they also differ in their statistical meaning, being motivated by different objectives: either testing hypotheses or finding the best-approximating model. These alternative goals entail different compromises, and as a result, Bayes factors, cross-validation and information criteria may be valid for addressing different questions. Here, the question of Bayesian model selection is revisited, with a focus on the problem of finding the best-approximating model. Several model selection approaches were re-implemented, numerically assessed and compared: Bayes factors, cross-validation (CV), in its different forms (k-fold or leave-one-out), and the widely applicable information criterion (wAIC), which is asymptotically equivalent to leave-one-out cross validation (LOO-CV). Using a combination of analytical results and empirical and simulation analyses, it is shown that Bayes factors are unduly conservative. In contrast, cross-validation represents a more adequate formalism for selecting the model returning the best approximation of the data-generating process and the most accurate estimates of the parameters of interest. Among alternative CV schemes, LOO-CV and its asymptotic equivalent represented by the wAIC, stand out as the best choices, conceptually and computationally, given that both can be simultaneously computed based on standard MCMC runs under the posterior distribution.</p>
Investigating morphological complexes using informational dissonance and bayes factors: A case study in corbiculate bees
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Identifying the best approximating model in Bayesian phylogenetics: Bayes factors, cross-validation or wAIC?
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Data from: Assessing combinability of phylogenomic data using Bayes Factors
With the rapid reduction in sequencing costs of high-throughput genomic data, it has become commonplace to use hundreds of genes to infer phylogeny of any study system. While sampling a large number of genes has given us a tremendous opportunity to uncover previously unknown relationships and improve phylogenetic resolution, it also presents us with new challenges when the phylogenetic signal is confused by differences in the evolutionary histories of sampled genes. Given the incorporation of accurate marginal likelihood estimation methods into popular Bayesian software programs, it is natural to consider using the Bayes Factor (BF) to compare different partition models in which genes within any given partition subset share both tree topology and edge lengths. We explore using marginal likelihood to assess data subset combinability when data subsets have varying levels of phylogenetic discordance due to deep coalescence events among genes (simulated within a species tree), and compare the results with our recently-described phylogenetic informational dissonance index (D) estimated for each data set. BF effectively detects phylogenetic incongruence, and provides a way to assess the statistical significance of D values. We use BFs to assess data combinability using an empirical data set comprising 56 plastid genes from the green algal order Volvocales. We also discuss the potential need for calibrating BFs and demonstrate that BFs used in this study are correctly calibrated.
Study to Compare How the Body Distributes and Excretes the Drugs Jivi (BAY 94-9027) and Adynovi in Patients With Severe Hemophilia A (Bleeding Disorder Resulting From a Lack of Blood Clotting Factor V
ClinicalTrials.gov study NCT04015492. IPD Sharing: UNDECIDED. Countries: 1. Publications: 1.
Testing the Anti-cancer Drug, Rogaratinib (BAY 1163877), for Treatment of Advanced Sarcoma With Alteration in Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor (FGFR 1-4), and in Patients With SDH-deficient Gastroint
ClinicalTrials.gov study NCT04595747. IPD Sharing: YES. Countries: 1. Publications: 0.
Data from: Species delimitation using Bayes factors: simulations and application to the Sceloporus scalaris species group (Squamata: Phrynosomatidae)
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Data from: Assessing combinability of phylogenomic data using Bayes Factors
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Data from: Bayes factors unmask highly variable information content, bias, and extreme influence in phylogenomic analyses
As the application of genomic data in phylogenetics has become routine, a number of cases have arisen where alternative data sets strongly support conflicting conclusions. This sensitivity to analytical decisions has prevented firm resolution of some of the most recalcitrant nodes in the tree of life. To better understand the causes and nature of this sensitivity, we analyzed several phylogenomic data sets using an alternative measure of topological support (the Bayes factor) that both demonstrates and averts several limitations of more frequently employed support measures (such as Markov chain Monte Carlo estimates of posterior probabilities). Bayes factors reveal important, previously hidden, differences across six "phylogenomic" data sets collected to resolve the phylogenetic placement of turtles within Amniota. These data sets vary substantially in their support for well-established amniote relationships, particularly in the proportion of genes that contain extreme amounts of information as well as the proportion that strongly reject these uncontroversial relationships. All six data sets contain little information to resolve the phylogenetic placement of turtles relative to other amniotes. Bayes factors also reveal that a very small number of extremely influential genes (less than 1% of genes in a data set) can fundamentally change significant phylogenetic conclusions. In one example, these genes are shown to contain previously unrecognized paralogs. This study demonstrates both that the resolution of difficult phylogenomic problems remains sensitive to seemingly minor analysis details and that Bayes factors are a valuable tool for identifying and solving these challenges.
Data from: Bayes factors unmask highly variable information content, bias, and extreme influence in phylogenomic analyses
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The supplementary material (dataset S1 and dataset S2) of article with the title of "Bacterioplankton community variation in Bohai Bay (China) is explained by joint effects of environmental and spatial factors"
<p>Dataset S1 Geochemical and physical variables of the sampling sites in this study</p> <p>Dataset S2 The relative baundance of 36 OTUs (with relative abundance > 1%) </p>
Study to Test the Safety and How Well Patients With Severe Hemophilia A Respond to Treatment With BAY 2599023 (DTX 201), a Drug Therapy That Delivers a Healthy Version of the Defective Factor VIII Gen
ClinicalTrials.gov study NCT03588299. IPD Sharing: NO. Countries: 6. Publications: 0.
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