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33 results for “birth-death”

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dryad40/100

Online Appendix and Cetacean Datasets for: The Occurrence Birth-Death Process for combined-evidence analysis in macroevolution and epidemiology

<p>Phylodynamic models generally aim at jointly inferring phylogenetic relationships, model parameters, and more recently, the number of lineages through time, based on molecular sequence data. In the fields of epidemiology and macroevolution these models can be used to estimate, respectively, the past number of infected individuals (prevalence) or the past number of species (paleodiversity) through time. Recent years have seen the development of "total-evidence" analyses, which combine molecular and morphological data from extant and past sampled individuals in a unified Bayesian inference framework. Even sampled individuals characterized only by their sampling time, i.e. lacking morphological and molecular data, which we call occurrences, provide invaluable information to reconstruct the past number of lineages.</p> <p>Here, we present new methodological developments around the Fossilized Birth-Death Process enabling us to (i) incorporate occurrence data in the likelihood function; (ii) consider piecewise-constant birth, death and sampling rates; and (iii) reconstruct the past number of lineages, with or without knowledge of the underlying tree. We implement our method in the RevBayes software environment, enabling its use along with a large set of models of molecular and morphological evolution, and validate the inference workflow using simulations under a wide range of conditions.</p> <p>We finally illustrate our new implementation using two empirical datasets stemming from the fields of epidemiology and macroevolution. In epidemiology, we infer the prevalence of the COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess ship, by taking into account jointly the case count record (occurrences) along with viral sequences for a fraction of infected individuals. In macroevolution, we infer the diversity trajectory of cetaceans using molecular and morphological data from extant taxa, morphological data from fossils, as well as numerous fossil occurrences. The joint modeling of occurrences and trees holds the promise to further bridge the gap between between traditional epidemiology and pathogen genomics, as well as paleontology and molecular phylogenetics.</p>

opencc-zeroDec 2021View details →
dryad40/100

Data from: Skyline fossilized birth-death model is robust to violations of sampling assumptions in total-evidence dating

<p>Several total-evidence dating studies under the fossilized birth-death (FBD) model have produced very old age estimates, which are not supported by the fossil record. This phenomenon has been termed "deep root attraction (DRA)". For two specific datasets, involving divergence time estimation for the early radiations of ants, bees and wasps (Hymenoptera) and of placental mammals (Eutheria), it has been shown that the DRA effect can be greatly reduced by accommodating the fact that extant species in these trees have been sampled to maximize diversity, so called diversified sampling. Unfortunately, current methods to accommodate diversified sampling only consider the extreme case where it is possible to identify a cut-off time such that all splits occurring before this time are represented in the sampled tree but none of the younger splits. In reality, the sampling bias is rarely this extreme, and may be difficult to model properly. Similar modeling challenges apply to the sampling of the fossil record. This raises the question of whether it is possible to find dating methods that are more robust to sampling biases. Here, we show that the skyline FBD (SFBD) process, where the diversification and fossil-sampling rates can vary over time in a piecewise fashion, provides age estimates that are more robust to inadequacies in the modeling of the sampling process and less sensitive to DRA effects. In the SFBD model we consider, rates in different time intervals are either considered to be independent and identically distributed, or assumed to be autocorrelated following an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process. Through simulations and reanalyses of the Hymenoptera and Eutheria data, we show that both variants of the SFBD model unify age estimates under random and diversified sampling assumptions. The SFBD model can resolve DRA by absorbing the deviations from the sampling assumptions into the inferred dynamics of the diversification process over time. Although this means that the inferred diversification dynamics must be interpreted with caution, taking sampling biases into account, we conclude that the SFBD model represents the most robust approach available currently for addressing DRA in total-evidence dating.</p>

opencc-zeroApr 2022View details →
dryad40/100

The ClaDS rate-heterogeneous birth-death prior for full phylogenetic inference in BEAST2

<p>Bayesian phylogenetic inference requires a tree prior, which models the underlying diversification process which gives rise to the phylogeny. Existing birth-death diversification models include a wide range of features, for instance lineage-specific variations in speciation and extinction rates. While across-lineage variation in speciation and extinction rates is widespread in empirical datasets, few heterogeneous rate models have been implemented as tree priors for Bayesian phylogenetic inference. As a consequence, rate heterogeneity is typically ignored when reconstructing phylogenies, and rate heterogeneity is usually investigated on fixed trees. In this paper, we present a new BEAST2 package implementing the cladogenetic diversification rate shift (ClaDS) model as a tree prior. ClaDS is a birth-death diversification model designed to capture small progressive variations in birth and death rates along a phylogeny. Unlike previous implementations of ClaDS, which were designed to be used with fixed, user-chosen phylogenies, our package is implemented in the BEAST2 framework and thus allows full phylogenetic inference, where the phylogeny and model are co-estimated from a molecular alignment. Our package provides all necessary components of the inference, including a new tree object and operators to propose moves to the MCMC. It also includes a graphical interface through BEAUti. We validate our implementation of the package by comparing the produced distributions to simulated data, and show an empirical example of the full inference, using a cetaceans dataset.</p>

opencc-zeroJul 2022View details →
zenodo40/100

Sampling Rare Event Energy Landscapes via Birth-Death Augmented Dynamics

<p>Archive with data supporting the paper &quot;Sampling Rare Event Energy Landscapes via Birth-Death Augmented Dynamics&quot; and the related PhD thesis by B. Pampel</p>

opencc-by-4.0Aug 2022View details →
dryad40/100

Online appendix and simulated data sets for assesment of Birth-Death Exposed-Infectious (BDEI) phylodynamic model estimators

<p>The birth-death exposed-infectious (BDEI) phylodynamic model describes the transmission of pathogens featuring an incubation period (when there is a delay between the moment of infection and becoming infectious, as for Ebola and SARS-CoV-2), and permits its estimation along with other parameters, from time-scaled phylogenetic trees.</p> <p>We implemented a highly parallelizable estimator for the BDEI model in a maximum likelihood framework (<a href="https://github.com/evolbioinfo/bdei">PyBDEI</a>) using a combination of numerical analysis methods for efficient equation resolution. This dataset contains the assessment of PyBDEI in comparison with a Bayesian implementation in <a href="http://www.beast2.org/">BEAST2</a> (mtbd package) and a deep learning estimator <a href="https://github.com/evolbioinfo/phylodeep">PhyloDeep</a>: the parameter values estimated by the 3 tools.<br><br>The PyBDEI and the theoretical findings behind it are described in A Zhukova, F Hecht, Y Maday, and O Gascuel. Fast and Accurate Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of Multi-Type Birth-Death Epidemiological Models from Phylogenetic Trees Syst Biol 2023. This dataset contains the online Appendix (Fig S1-S3 and Table S1).</p>

opencc-zeroDec 2022View details →
dryad40/100

Impacts of taxon-sampling schemes on Bayesian tip dating under the fossilized birth-death process

<p>Evolutionary timescales can be inferred by molecular-clock analyses of genetic data and fossil evidence. Bayesian phylogenetic methods such as tip dating provide a powerful framework for inferring evolutionary timescales, but the most widely used priors for tree topologies and node times often assume that present-day taxa have been sampled randomly or exhaustively. In practice, taxon sampling is often carried out so as to include representatives of major lineages, such as orders or families. We examined the impacts of different densities of diversified sampling on Bayesian tip dating on unresolved fossilized birth-death (FBD) trees, in which fossil taxa are topologically constrained but their exact placements are averaged out. We used synthetic data generated by simulations of nucleotide sequence evolution, fossil occurrences, and diversified taxon sampling. Our analyses under the diversified-sampling FBD process show that increasing taxon-sampling density does not necessarily improve divergence-time estimates. However, when informative priors were specified for the root age or when tree topologies were fixed to those used for simulation, the performance of tip dating on unresolved FBD trees maintains its accuracy and precision or improves with taxon-sampling density. By exploring three situations in which models are mismatched, we find that including all relevant fossils, without pruning off those that are incompatible with the diversified-sampling FBD process, can lead to underestimation of divergence times. Our reanalysis of a eutherian mammal data set confirms some of the findings from our simulation study, and reveals the complexity of diversified taxon sampling in phylogenomic data sets. In highlighting the interplay of taxon-sampling density and other factors, the results of our study have practical implications for using Bayesian tip dating to infer evolutionary timescales across the Tree of Life.</p>

opencc-zeroJun 2023View details →
dryad40/100

The limits of the constant-rate birth-death prior for phylogenetic tree topology inference

<p>Birth-death models are stochastic processes describing speciation and extinction through time and across taxa and are widely used in biology for inference of evolutionary timescales. Previous research has highlighted how the expected trees under constant-rate birth-death (crBD) tend to differ from empirical trees, for example with respect to the amount of phylogenetic imbalance. However, our understanding of how trees differ between crBD and the signal in empirical data remains incomplete. In this Point of View, we aim to expose the degree to which crBD differs from empirically inferred phylogenies and test the limits of the model in practice. Using a wide range of topology indices to compare crBD expectations against a comprehensive dataset of 1189 empirically estimated trees, we confirm that crBD trees frequently differ topologically compared with empirical trees. To place this in the context of standard practice in the field, we conducted a meta-analysis for a subset of the empirical studies. When comparing studies that used crBD priors with those that used other non-BD Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods, we do not find any significant differences in tree topology inferences. To scrutinize this finding for the case of highly imbalanced trees, we selected the 100 trees with the greatest imbalance from our dataset, simulated sequence data for these tree topologies under various evolutionary rates, and re-inferred the trees under maximum likelihood and using crBD in a Bayesian setting. We find that when the substitution rate is low, the crBD prior results in overly balanced trees, but the tendency is negligible when substitution rates are sufficiently high. Overall, our findings demonstrate the general robustness of crBD priors across a broad range of phylogenetic inference scenarios but also highlight that empirically observed phylogenetic imbalance is highly improbable under crBD, leading to systematic bias in data sets with limited information content.</p>

opencc-zeroJul 2023View details →
dryad40/100

The ClaDS rate-heterogeneous birth-death prior for full phylogenetic inference in BEAST2

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publicJan 2023View details →
dryad40/100

The limits of the constant-rate birth-death prior for phylogenetic tree topology inference

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publicNov 2023View details →
dryad40/100

Data from: Skyline fossilized birth-death model is robust to violations of sampling assumptions in total-evidence dating

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publicMay 2023View details →
dryad40/100

Online Appendix and Cetacean Datasets for: The Occurrence Birth-Death Process for combined-evidence analysis in macroevolution and epidemiology

Open the record for dataset details and reuse information.

publicApr 2022View details →
dryad40/100

Online appendix and simulated data sets for assesment of Birth-Death Exposed-Infectious (BDEI) phylodynamic model estimators

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publicSep 2023View details →
dryad40/100

Impacts of taxon-sampling schemes on Bayesian tip dating under the fossilized birth-death process

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publicJun 2023View details →
dryad36/100

The departure between constant-rate birth-death and empirically inferred diversification processes

<p>Birth-death models (BDMs) are stochastic processes describing the processes of speciation and extinction through time and across taxa and are widely used in biology for inference of evolutionary timescales. Previous research has highlighted how the expected trees under BDMs tend to differ from empirical trees with respect to indices such as the amount of phylogenetic imbalance. However, our understanding of how trees differ between BDMs and empirical inferences remains incomplete. In this study, we demonstrate how four different constant-rate BDM scenarios influence tree shape and branch-length characteristics of phylogenetic trees, using a wide range of topology and branch-length indices. Comparison of BDM expectations against a comprehensive empirical dataset of 1,189 empirical trees shows that the dominant form of model inadequacy in BDMs is in failing to accommodate large amounts of phylogenetic imbalance in empirical processes. We also find that empirical trees tend to have significantly greater depth, lower stemminess, and longer shortest pendant edge lengths than BD-simulated trees. The results also indicate that accounting for the sampling fraction is the single most important parameter for accommodating empirical stemminess and branch lengths. Overall, our findings demonstrate the limitations of BDM priors when inferring the shape and structural characteristics of phylogenetic trees, highlighting the importance of novel methods that account for a broader tree space and secondarily reduce any possible bias in branch length estimation.</p>

opencc-zeroFeb 2023View details →
dryad36/100

The departure between constant-rate birth-death and empirically inferred diversification processes

Open the record for dataset details and reuse information.

publicFeb 2023View details →
zenodo32/100

The limits of the constant-rate birth-death prior for phylogenetic tree topology inference

<p>Birth-death models are stochastic processes describing speciation and extinction through time and across taxa, and are widely used in biology for inference of evolutionary timescales. Previous research has highlighted how the expected trees under constant-rate birth-death (crBD) tend to differ from empirical trees, for example with respect to the amount of phylogenetic imbalance. However, our understanding of how trees differ between crBD and the signal in empirical data remains incomplete. In this Point of View, we aim to expose the degree to which crBD differs from empirically inferred phylogenies and test the limits of the model in practice. Using a wide range of topology indices to compare crBD expectations against a comprehensive dataset of 1189 empirically estimated trees, we confirm that crBD trees frequently differ topologically compared with empirical trees. To place this in the context of standard practice in the field, we conducted a meta-analysis for a subset of the empirical studies. When comparing studies that used crBD priors with those that used other non-BD Bayesian and non-Bayesian methods, we do not find any significant differences in tree topology inferences. To scrutinize this finding for the case of highly imbalanced trees, we selected the 100 trees with the greatest imbalance from our dataset, simulated sequence data for these tree topologies under various evolutionary rates, and re-inferred the trees under maximum likelihood and using crBD in a Bayesian setting. We find that when the substitution rate is low, the crBD prior results in overly balanced trees, but the tendency is negligible when substitution rates are sufficiently high. Overall, our findings demonstrate the general robustness of crBD priors across a broad range of phylogenetic inference scenarios, but also highlights that empirically observed phylogenetic imbalance is highly improbable under crBD, leading to systematic bias in data sets with limited information content.</p>

opencc-by-4.0Jul 2023View details →
zenodo32/100

Figure 7 in Including fossils in phylogeny: a glimpse into the evolution of the superfamily Evanioidea (Hymenoptera: Apocrita) under tip-dating and the fossilized birth-death process

Figure 7. Fossil diversity (species) of Evanioidea and Ichneumonoidea during the mid-Mesozoic and Cenozoic (data from

opennotspecifiedJul 2021View details →
zenodo32/100

Figure 6 in Including fossils in phylogeny: a glimpse into the evolution of the superfamily Evanioidea (Hymenoptera: Apocrita) under tip-dating and the fossilized birth-death process

Figure 6. Keratodellitha kirin. Holotype IGR.BU-021 (female). A, head in left profile view. B, head in full-face view. C, wings. D, line drawing of wing venation with nomenclature. Scale bars: 0.5 mm.

opennotspecifiedJul 2021View details →
zenodo32/100

Figure 4. Keratodellitha anubis. Holotype NIGP174739 in Including fossils in phylogeny: a glimpse into the evolution of the superfamily Evanioidea (Hymenoptera: Apocrita) under tip-dating and the fossilized birth-death process

Figure 4. Keratodellitha anubis. Holotype NIGP174739 (male). A, wing. B, line drawing of wing venation with nomenclature. Scale bars: 0.5 mm.

opennotspecifiedJul 2021View details →
zenodo32/100

Figure 5 in Including fossils in phylogeny: a glimpse into the evolution of the superfamily Evanioidea (Hymenoptera: Apocrita) under tip-dating and the fossilized birth-death process

Figure 5. Keratodellitha kirin. Holotype IGR.BU-021 (female). A, habitus in left lateral view. B, habitus in right lateral view. Scale bars: 1 mm.

opennotspecifiedJul 2021View details →

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