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Land-Cover Change Scenarios for Massachusetts 2010-2060
Working with a panel of practitioners and regional experts, we developed and analyzed four plausible but divergent land-use scenarios that depict the future of Massachusetts from 2010 to 2060. We simulated the land-use scenarios and their interactions with anticipated climate change by coupling statistical models of land use to the LANDIS-II landscape model and then evaluated the outcomes in terms of the magnitude and spatial distribution of (1) direct human uses of the landscape (residential and commercial development, agricultural, timber harvest), (2) ecosystem services (carbon storage, flood regulation, nutrient retention), and (3) habitat quality (forest tree species composition, interior forest habitat). Across all scenarios, conflicts occurred between dispersed residential development and the supply of ecosystem services and habitat quality. In all but the scenario that envisioned a significant agricultural expansion, forest growth resulted in net increases in aboveground carbon storage, despite the concomitant forest clearing and harvesting. One scenario, called Forests as Infrastructure, showed the potential for synergies between increased forest harvest volume through the sustainable practices that encouraged the maintenance of economically and ecologically important tree species, and carbon storage. This scenario also showed trade-offs between development density and water quantity and quality at the watershed scale. The process of integrated scenario analysis led to important insights for land managers and policymakers in a populated forested region where there are tensions among development, forest harvesting, and land conservation. More broadly, the results emphasize the need to consider the consequences of contrasting land-use regimes that result from the interactions between human decisions and spatially heterogeneous landscape dynamics.
Yearly CO2 emissions from anthropogenic land use change by main driver (2014-2023)
<h3>Background</h3> <p>Human-induced land use change (LUC), driven by activities such as forestry, logging, and the production of agricultural commodities (e.g. fruits, nuts, and meat) significantly impacts the Global Commons, encompassing the climate system, ice sheets, land biosphere, oceans, and the ozone layer. The convertion of natural forests into areas dedicated to these activities lead to disrupted ecosystems (Foley et al. 2005), severely degraded biodiversity (Newbold et al. 2015), and the release of substantial amounts of greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere (Hong et al. 2021), further exacerbating climate change and ocean acidification (Doney et al. 2009). The expansion of the agricultural frontier is identified as the predominant direct cause of deforestation globally, with other industries like timber and mining also playing significant roles (Curtis et al. 2018). To achieve global climate targets, forestry, and other land use GHG emissions must decrease along a nonlinear trajectory and reach carbon neutrality by 2050 (Rockström et al. 2017). However, to successfully address this road map, improving our understanding of deforestation drivers is urgently needed.</p> <h3>Summary</h3> <p>This dataset is the result of data processing performed to estimate the extent to which commodities and other agricultural products have replaced forests, while mapping the CO2 emission impact making use of the best available spatially explicit data. Results are reported globally for 52 products at national level, as well as agroecological and thermal zones (FAO & IIASA) and a 50km cell vector grid.</p> <p>In order to detect spatially-explicit deforestation drivers, the current extent of commodities and agricultural products was overlapped with global annual tree cover loss in the 10-year period from 2014 to 2023. Carbon stocks in the deforested areas were then assumed to have been emmited into the atmosphere. Recent, detailed crop and pasture maps for relevant commodities were used whenever available, and coarser resolution datasets were used as supplements when needed. Operations were performed in Google Earth Engine.</p> <h3>Datasets used</h3> <p><em>Forest and biomass carbon distribution</em></p> <p>The <a href="https://earthenginepartners.appspot.com/science-2013-global-forest">Global Forest Change</a> dataset (Hansen et al., 2013) is used to estimate deforestation between 2014 and 2023. This tree cover loss dataset measures the first instance of complete removal of tree cover canopy at a 30-meter resolution for all woody vegetation over 5 meters in height.</p> <p>The <a href="https://data-gis.unep-wcmc.org/portal/home/item.html?id=374a99fc76574f72bb8c71af7b428d0a">WCMC Above and Below Ground Biomass Carbon Density </a>(Soto-Navarro et al., 2020), for reference year 2010 at 300m pixel, is overlapped with resulting deforested areas pixels to dermine the biomass carbon present in the areas before deforestation.</p> <p><em>Generalized deforestation drivers</em></p> <p><a href="https://data.globalforestwatch.org/documents/ff304784a9f04ac4a45a40f60bae5b26/about">Tree cover loss by dominant driver</a> (Curtis et al., 2022) in 2023 is used to determine wide categories of deforestation drivers (commodities, shifting agriculture, forestry, wildfire and urbanization). Pixels indicating deforestation in the Global Forest Change dataset (Hansen et al., 2013) that overlap the commodities and shifting agriculture pixels from this dataset (Curtis et al., 2022) have their drivers further detailed with the data sources listed in the below.</p> <p><a href="http://www.earthstat.org/">EarthStat</a> pasture areas layer (Ramankutty et al., 2008) is used to identify areas for which specific livestock categories are to be defined. The project provides pasture areas for reference year 2000 at ~10km resolution.</p> <p><em>Detailed deforestation drivers</em></p> <p>The <a href="https://earthobservations.org/geoglam.php">Group on Earth Observations Global Agricultural Monitoring</a> (GEOGLAM) commodity distibution layer (Becker-Reshef et al., 2023) is used to identify specific commodities (winter wheat, spring wheat, maize, rice and soybean) to deforestation pixels pertaining to the "commodities" class. The ressource provides commodity distribution mapping at 5km pixel resolution. Values are provided as percentage of pixel area occupied by given crop.</p> <p>The <a href="https://mapspam.info/">Spatial Production Allocation Model (SPAM)</a> physical area layer (You et al., 2014) for reference year 2020 is used to detail drivers pertaining to the "shifting agriculture" class. The dataset covers 46 crops and crop groups at ~9km pixel resolution. Values are provided as percentage of pixel area occupied by given crop or crop group.</p> <p>The <a href="https://www.fao.org/livestock-systems/global-distributions/en/">Gridded Livestock of the World (GLW3)</a> (Gilbert et al., 2022) is used to determine which species (cattle, goat, sheep or horse) of livestock is raised in areas identified as pasture in the EarthStat layer and pertaining to the "commodities" class. The project provides livestock distribution for reference year 2015 at ~9km resolution. Values are provided as number of individuals located within the pixel. Values were converted into percentage of pixel area covered by grazing field for given species based on species density thresholds.</p> <h3>Data processing</h3> <p>Most of data processing takes place in Google Earth Engine, with scripts redacted in javascript. In summary, two strategies were implemented:</p> <p><strong>Proportional driver distribution strategy</strong>: When deforestation pixels (Hansen et al., 2013) overlapped with pixels from at least one of the detailed deforestation drivers data sources, the driver describe in the latter were associated with that deforested area. Whenever more than one of these data sources had non-null pixels overlapping the area, a proportional distribution was assumed (i.e. if SPAM indicated 100% of the area to be covered by cowpea crops, GEOGLAM 100% by maize, and GLW3 100% by cattle grazing fields, the pixel is assumed to have 33.3% of its deforested area associated with each of these drivers).</p> <p><strong>Main driver strategy</strong>: When deforestation pixels did not overlap with any non-null pixels from any of the detailed drivers sources, the pixel is assumed to have the entirety of its deforested area associated with one single main driver resulting from a crop-livestock mosaic. The mosaic is created by taking the highest value from each of the crop or livestock distribution rasters, and then assigning the raster category to be the new pixel value, ultimately creating a category raster layer containing the main crop, crop group or livestock species occupying that pixel area. Null or zero values in this mosaic are filled-in by nearest neighbour analysis, to a limit of 20 pixels expansion. This was enough to ensure that all deforestation pixels had at least one detailed driver with which it could be associated. The logic behind this operation resides in the fact that the deforestation layer (Hansen et al., 2013) has a larger temporal coverage (with the more recent data point being the reference year 2023), while the detailed driver layers can be as old as reference year 2015. This means we're assuming the main deforestation drivers continued to expand their limits to neighbouring areas during the years for which no data is available.</p> <p>Resulting rasters from both strategies are put together and a zonal statistics operation is performed in order to populate the vector grid cells.</p> <h3><strong>Files</strong></h3> <p>This repository contains the following files:</p> <ul> <li><em>deforested_area_by_LUC_driver_2014_2023</em>.CSV contains the deforested area (hectares) and the corresponding driver in each grid cell (idenfied by the id field) in each year, in CSV text format.</li> <li><em>carbon_emissions_by_LUC_driver_2014_2023</em>.CSV contains the carbon emitted (Mg CO2 eq.) and the corresponding driver in each grid cell (idenfied by the id field) in each year, in CSV text format.</li> <li><em>spatial_grid</em>.gpkg contains the raw 50km cell grid, with identification of country (iso3 and name fields), region, and FAO agroecological zone (zone field) and thermal zone (thermal field), in Geopackage format. In order to visualize the data in a map, the user will need to join one of the csv files to this geopackage file by basing the join on the 'id' field.</li> <li><em>summary_showcase</em>.png is an image showcasing maps created using the database, as well as a diagram showing the datasets used to create the final dataset.</li> </ul> <h3><strong>How to cite</strong></h3> <p>Iablonovski, G.; Berthet, E. C.; Roberts, S. (2024). Yearly CO2 emissions from anthropogenic land use change by main driver (2014-2023) [Data set]. Zenodo. https://zenodo.org/doi/10.5281/zenodo.13308514</p> <h3>Authors and contact</h3> <p>Authors: Guilherme Iablonovski*, Etienne Charles Berthet, Sophie Roberts</p> <p>*Corresponding author: Guilherme Iablonovski (guilherme.iablonovski@unsdsn.org)</p>
US Atlantic and Gulf Coast Annual Wetland Land Cover and Change Maps, 1985 to 2022
<h3>This dataset is associated with the following article published in Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, which can be accessed here: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2024.101392</h3> <p>Shortly after publishing version 2, errors in the map projections were identified and corrected. Please use version 3 instead of version 2.</p> <p>Updates to version 2 were as follows:</p> <ul> <li>Includes watersheds in Texas that were not included in Version 1.</li> <li>A color map (using ArcPro) was added for improved interpretation.</li> <li>A sub-pixel scale offset in the change type map, related to map projection errors, was corrected.</li> </ul> <h2><strong>Mapping Coastal Wetland Changes from 1985 to 2022 in the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts using Landsat Time Series and National Wetland Inventories</strong></h2> <p>Courtney A. Di Vittorio<sup>1</sup>, Melita Wiles<sup>2</sup>, Yasin W. Rabby<sup>2</sup>, Saeed Movahedi<sup>2</sup>, Jacob Louie<sup>1</sup>, Lily Hezrony<sup>1</sup>, Esteban Coyoy Cifuentes<sup>1</sup>, Wes Hinchman<sup>1</sup>, Alex Schluter<sup>1</sup></p> <p><sup>1</sup>Department of Engineering, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.</p> <p><sup>2</sup>Department of Statistics, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.</p> <h3>Abstract</h3> <p>The areal extent of coastal wetlands is declining rapidly worldwide, and scientists and land managers need land cover maps that show the magnitude and severity of changes over time to assess impacts and develop effective conservation strategies. Within the United States (US), the widely-used, continental-scale wetland land cover data products are either static in time (The National Wetlands Inventory) or have a course temporal resolution, and do not distinguish between different types of change (the NOAA Coastal Change Analysis Program, C-CAP). This study presents a new coastal wetland geospatial data product that leverages the Landsat database and maps annual land cover across the US Atlantic and Gulf Coasts from 1985 to 2022. The algorithm was trained on the existing US wetland inventories to make the final maps compatible with products that are used in operational management. A multi-stage classification approach was designed that uses Google Earth Engine and the Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) algorithm to characterize time series of remote sensing imagery with fitted harmonic functions and identify when changes likely occurred. The fitted time series models are then input into a random forest classifier to make a class prediction. An annual-scale random forest classification is performed in parallel, and results from both algorithms are combined and analysed to detect both gradual and abrupt changes and to identify transitional time series segments. A time series smoothing procedure is subsequently applied to ensure class transitions are logical and consistent and extract a summative change characterization map that shows the severity and spatial density of change. The final maps distinguish between four homogenous classes and six mixed classes, representing areas that are transitioning between classes and where the boundaries between classes are unstable. The average overall accuracy of the algorithm is 93.7%, and the average class omission and commission errors are 6.7% and 6.4%, respectively. A variety of change detection comparisons were performed, using the existing wetland inventory that employed a fundamentally different change detection approach, and a more comparable annual-scale, Landsat-derived product that estimated changes across the Northeastern Atlantic Coast. These comparisons show that the magnitude of severe changes matches that of the existing inventory and the magnitude of the moderate changes matches that of the more comparable product. The 2019 Wetland Status and Trends Report estimated that net loss rates in emergent wetlands from 2010 to 2019 amount to 1.7%, and the new maps show an equivalent loss rate of 1.6%, again showing close agreement.</p>
A dataset to model Levantine landcover and land-use change connected to climate change, the Arab Spring and COVID-19
<p><strong>Overview</strong></p> <p>This dataset is the repository for the following paper submitted to <em>Data in Brief</em>:</p> <p>Kempf, M. A dataset to model Levantine landcover and land-use change connected to climate change, the Arab Spring and COVID-19. <em>Data in Brief</em> (submitted: December 2023).</p> <p>The <em>Data in Brief</em> article contains the supplement information and is the related data paper to:</p> <p>Kempf, M. Climate change, the Arab Spring, and COVID-19 - Impacts on landcover transformations in the Levant. <em>Journal of Arid Environments</em> (revision submitted: December 2023).</p> <p><strong>Description/abstract</strong></p> <p>The Levant region is highly vulnerable to climate change, experiencing prolonged heat waves that have led to societal crises and population displacement. Since 2010, the area has been marked by socio-political turmoil, including the Syrian civil war and currently the escalation of the so-called Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, which strained neighbouring countries like Jordan due to the influx of Syrian refugees and increases population vulnerability to governmental decision-making. Jordan, in particular, has seen rapid population growth and significant changes in land-use and infrastructure, leading to over-exploitation of the landscape through irrigation and construction. This dataset uses climate data, satellite imagery, and land cover information to illustrate the substantial increase in construction activity and highlights the intricate relationship between climate change predictions and current socio-political developments in the Levant. </p> <p><strong>Folder structure</strong></p> <p>The main folder after download contains all data, in which the following subfolders are stored are stored as zipped files: </p> <p>“code” stores the above described 9 code chunks to read, extract, process, analyse, and visualize the data.</p> <p>“MODIS_merged” contains the 16-days, 250 m resolution NDVI imagery merged from three tiles (h20v05, h21v05, h21v06) and cropped to the study area, n=510, covering January 2001 to December 2022 and including January and February 2023.</p> <p>“mask” contains a single shapefile, which is the merged product of administrative boundaries, including Jordan, Lebanon, Israel, Syria, and Palestine (“MERGED_LEVANT.shp”).</p> <p>“yield_productivity” contains .csv files of yield information for all countries listed above.</p> <p>“population” contains two files with the same name but different format. The .csv file is for processing and plotting in R. The .ods file is for enhanced visualization of population dynamics in the Levant (Socio_cultural_political_development_database_FAO2023.ods).</p> <p>“GLDAS” stores the raw data of the NASA Global Land Data Assimilation System datasets that can be read, extracted (variable name), and processed using code “8_GLDAS_read_extract_trend” from the respective folder. One folder contains data from 1975-2022 and a second the additional January and February 2023 data.</p> <p>“built_up” contains the landcover and built-up change data from 1975 to 2022. This folder is subdivided into two subfolder which contain the raw data and the already processed data. “raw_data” contains the unprocessed datasets and “derived_data” stores the cropped built_up datasets at 5 year intervals, e.g., “Levant_built_up_1975.tif”. </p> <p><strong>Code structure</strong></p> <p>1_MODIS_NDVI_hdf_file_extraction.R </p> <p><br>This is the first code chunk that refers to the extraction of MODIS data from .hdf file format. The following packages must be installed and the raw data must be downloaded using a simple mass downloader, e.g., from google chrome. Packages: terra. Download MODIS data from after registration from: https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mod13q1v061/ or https://search.earthdata.nasa.gov/search (MODIS/Terra Vegetation Indices 16-Day L3 Global 250m SIN Grid V061, last accessed, 09th of October 2023). The code reads a list of files, extracts the NDVI, and saves each file to a single .tif-file with the indication “NDVI”. Because the study area is quite large, we have to load three different (spatially) time series and merge them later. Note that the time series are temporally consistent.</p> <p><br>2_MERGE_MODIS_tiles.R</p> <p><br>In this code, we load and merge the three different stacks to produce large and consistent time series of NDVI imagery across the study area. We further use the package gtools to load the files in (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, etc.). Here, we have three stacks from which we merge the first two (stack 1, stack 2) and store them. We then merge this stack with stack 3. We produce single files named NDVI_final_*consecutivenumber*.tif. Before saving the final output of single merged files, create a folder called “merged” and set the working directory to this folder, e.g., setwd("your directory__MODIS/merged").</p> <p><br>3_CROP_MODIS_merged_tiles.R</p> <p><br>Now we want to crop the derived MODIS tiles to our study area. We are using a mask, which is provided as .shp file in the repository, named "MERGED_LEVANT.shp". We load the merged .tif files and crop the stack with the vector. Saving to individual files, we name them “NDVI_merged_clip_*consecutivenumber*.tif. We now produced single cropped NDVI time series data from MODIS. <br>The repository provides the already clipped and merged NDVI datasets.</p> <p><br>4_TREND_analysis_NDVI.R</p> <p><br>Now, we want to perform trend analysis from the derived data. The data we load is tricky as it contains 16-days return period across a year for the period of 22 years. Growing season sums contain MAM (March-May), JJA (June-August), and SON (September-November). December is represented as a single file, which means that the period DJF (December-February) is represented by 5 images instead of 6. For the last DJF period (December 2022), the data from January and February 2023 can be added. The code selects the respective images from the stack, depending on which period is under consideration. From these stacks, individual annually resolved growing season sums are generated and the slope is calculated. We can then extract the p-values of the trend and characterize all values with high confidence level (0.05). Using the ggplot2 package and the melt function from reshape2 package, we can create a plot of the reclassified NDVI trends together with a local smoother (LOESS) of value 0.3.<br>To increase comparability and understand the amplitude of the trends, z-scores were calculated and plotted, which show the deviation of the values from the mean. This has been done for the NDVI values as well as the GLDAS climate variables as a normalization technique. </p> <p><br>5_BUILT_UP_change_raster.R</p> <p><br>Let us look at the landcover changes now. We are working with the terra package and get raster data from here: https://ghsl.jrc.ec.europa.eu/download.php?ds=bu (last accessed 03. March 2023, 100 m resolution, global coverage). Here, one can download the temporal coverage that is aimed for and reclassify it using the code after cropping to the individual study area. Here, I summed up different raster to characterize the built-up change in continuous values between 1975 and 2022. </p> <p><br>6_POPULATION_numbers_plot.R</p> <p><br>For this plot, one needs to load the .csv-file “Socio_cultural_political_development_database_FAO2023.csv” from the repository. The ggplot script provided produces the desired plot with all countries under consideration. </p> <p><br>7_YIELD_plot.R</p> <p><br>In this section, we are using the country productivity from the supplement in the repository “yield_productivity” (e.g., "Jordan_yield.csv". Each of the single country yield datasets is plotted in a ggplot and combined using the patchwork package in R. </p> <p><br>8_GLDAS_read_extract_trend</p> <p><br>The last code provides the basis for the trend analysis of the climate variables used in the paper. The raw data can be accessed https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets?keywords=GLDAS%20Noah%20Land%20Surface%20Model%20L4%20monthly&page=1 (last accessed 9th of October 2023). The raw data comes in .nc file format and various variables can be extracted using the [“^a variable name”] command from the spatraster collection. Each time you run the code, this variable name must be adjusted to meet the requirements for the variables (see this link for abbreviations: https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/GLDAS_CLSM025_D_2.0/summary, last accessed 09th of October 2023; or the respective code chunk when reading a .nc file with the ncdf4 package in R) or run print(nc) from the code or use names(the spatraster collection). <br>Choosing one variable, the code uses the MERGED_LEVANT.shp mask from the repository to crop and mask the data to the outline of the study area.<br>From the processed data, trend analysis are conducted and z-scores were calculated following the code described above. However, annual trends require the frequency of the time series analysis to be set to value = 12. Regarding, e.g., rainfall, which is measured as annual sums and not means, the chunk r.sum=r.sum/12 has to be removed or set to r.sum=r.sum/1 to avoid calculating annual mean values (see other variables). Seasonal subset can be calculated as described in the code. Here, 3-month subsets were chosen for growing seasons, e.g. March-May (MAM), June-July (JJA), September-November (SON), and DJF (December-February, including Jan/Feb of the consecutive year).<br>From the data, mean values of 48 consecutive years are calculated and trend analysis are performed as describe above. In the same way, p-values are extracted and 95 % confidence level values are marked with dots on the raster plot. This analysis can be performed with a much longer time series, other variables, ad different spatial extent across the globe due to the availability of the GLDAS variables. </p> <p><br>(9_workflow_diagramme) this simple code can be used to plot a workflow diagram and is detached from the actual analysis.</p> <p>___</p> <p>Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Validation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Resources, Data Curation, Writing - Original Draft, Writing - Review & Editing, Visualization, Supervision, Project administration, and Funding acquisition: Michael Kempf</p> <p>___</p> <p><strong>Acknowledgements</strong></p> <p><span><span><span><span>I would like to thank three </span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><span>anonymous</span></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span> reviewers for their constructive comments and suggestions that sharpened the paper in the Journal of Arid Environments. I am particularly grateful to the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF/SNF) to fund my research project </span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span><em><span>EXOCHAINS - Exploring Holocene Climate Change and Human Innovations across Eurasia</span></em></span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span> at the University of Basel under grant number </span></span></span></span><span><span><span><span>TMPFP2_217358.</span></span></span></span></p> <p> </p> <p><span><span><span><span>__</span></span></span></span></p> <p><br>All data underlying the results of this article are publicly available on the internet:</p> <p>GLDAS Noah Land Surface Model L4 data: NASA's Earth Science Data Systems (ESDS) Program, https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets?keywords=GLDAS%20Noah%20Land%20Surface%20Model%20L4%20monthly&page=1 (last accessed 09th December 2023); </p> <p><br>Country borders: https://www.geoboundaries.org (last accessed 7th of March 2023) and Natural Earth https://www.naturalearthdata.com/ (last accessed 5th of December 2023);</p> <p><br>FAOstats (Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations: https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QCL (last accessed 7th of March 2023);</p> <p><br>Global Human Settlement Layer datasets (GHSL): https://ghsl.jrc.ec.europa.eu/download.php?ds=bu (last accessed 7th of March 2023);</p> <p><br>Population development: <br>FAO, https://www.fao.org/countryprofiles/index/en/?iso3=JOR (last accessed 4th of March 2023); <br>the Worldbank, https://www.worldbank.org/en/home (last accessed: 04th of March 2023); <br>Worlddata.info, https://www.worlddata.info/asia/palestine/populationgrowth.php (last accessed 4th of March 2023);</p> <p><br>Water demand and population numbers (Tab. 1): https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/OA; https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators# (last accessed 13th of December 2023);</p> <p><br>MODIS: Earthdata server of the United States Geological Survey (USGS), MODIS/Terra Vegetation Indices 16-Day L3 Global 250m SIN Grid V006, https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mod13q1v061/ (last accessed 7th of March 2023).</p> <p><br>Competing interests statement:<br>The author declares no conflict of interest.<br>The author has no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.<br>Data availability: All data underlying the analyses are freely available on the internet and where applicable, sources are cited in the text.<br>Ethical approval: This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.<br>Informed consent: This article does not contain any studies with human participants performed by any of the authors.</p>
Code for "New land-use-change emissions indicate a declining CO2 airborne fraction"
<p>Data and programming scripts for reproducing the results from the Nature publication titled:</p> <p>"New land-use-change emissions indicate a declining CO2 airborne fraction".</p> <p>Authors: Margreet J. E. van Marle*, Dave van Wees*, Richard A. Houghton, Robert D. Field, Jan Verbesselt, and Guido R. van der Werf<br> * These authors contributed equally.</p> <p>DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-04376-4</p> <p> </p> <p>This dataset includes the following (All files are preceded by "Marle_et_al_Nature_AirborneFraction_"):</p> <p>- "Datasheet.xlsx": Excel dataset containing all annual and monthly emissions and CO2 time series used for the analysis, and the resulting airborne fraction time series.</p> <p>- "Script.py":<br> BEFORE RUNNING THE SCRIPT: change the 'wdir' variable to the directory containing the provided script and files.<br> NOTE: This script requires the Python module: 'pymannkendall'<br> Python script used for reproducing the results and figures from the paper. The provided Datasheet.xlsx file and the .zip and .npz files are required for this program. In case all these files are found by the script, it should run within several seconds. Successful execution of the script will save Figures 1-4 from the main text and print the data from Table 1. In case script execution takes longer, please check if the .xlsx, .zip and .npz files are correctly present in the assigned 'wdir' directory. Otherwise the script will start recalculating these files, which might take a while (see notes below).</p> <p>- "MC10000_MK_ts_TRENDabs.zip": .zip file containing all results from the Monte-Carlo simulation for trend estimation for Figure 3 (calculated using Python function 'calc_AF_MonteCarlo()'). This .zip file contains multiple .npz files for different emission scenarios and data treatments. This .zip file is managed by the Python script function 'calc_AF_MonteCarlo_filemanager()', there is no need to unzip the file manually. In case the .zip file is not found by the Python script (e.g. because the .zip file was unpacked manually and deleted), the program will start recalculating and save a new .zip file. This can take several minutes dependent on the computer used. Recalculated results could differ very slightly due to the random factor in the Monte-Carlo approach, even though the 10,000 iterations bring this variation to a minimum.</p> <p>- "MC1000_MK_run50x50_TRENDabs.npz": .npz file containing the Monte-Carlo results used for producing Figure 4 (calculated using Python function 'calc_AF_MonteCarlo_ARR()'). In case the .npz file is not found by the Python script (e.g. because it was deleted or not downloaded), the program will start recalculating and save a new file. This can take around 30 hours(!) dependent on the computer used. Recalculated results could differ slightly due to the random factor in the Monte-Carlo approach.</p> <p>- "tol_colors.py": Additional Python module used in script.py, required for producing the colors used in the Main text figures. Source: https://personal.sron.nl/~pault/</p> <p>- Figure files: Figures 1-4 from the Main text saved as .pdf files. Figure 3 is saved as three independent panels. The Figures are also reproduced by script.py if executed successfully.</p> <p> </p>
Lake mask and distance to land dataset of 2024 lakes for the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative Lakes v2
<p>This dataset contains the distance to land and the lake identifiers as a global netcdf file for all the water pixels at 1km (1/120 deg) lat/lon resolution of 2024 lakes distributed globally. It contains also the list of lakes as a csv file with information such as the lake center as defined in [1], and the coordinate of a box to easily locate the like in the global netcd file. The mask excludes islands on lakes and it has been derived from the GloboLakes high resolution limnology dataset [2]. The dateset have been further harmonized with the lake maximum extent lake polygons by PML [3]. The lake list with the plot of the mask and the polygons is available as a html file accessible also from the lake website at the University of Reading: http://www.laketemp.net/home_CCI/LMPolygons.php</p> <p>This dataset accompanies the <strong>ESA CCI Lakes v2 dataset</strong> [4].</p> <p> </p> <p>[1] Carrea, L.; Embury, O.; Merchant, C.J. (2015): High-resolution datasets related to in-land water for limnology and remote sensing applications: distance-to-land, distance-to-water, water-body identifier and lake-centre co-ordinates - Geoscience Data Journal, 2 (2). pp. 83-97. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.32</p> <p>[2] Carrea, L.; Embury, O.; Merchant, C.J. (2015): GloboLakes: high-resolution global limnology dataset v1. Centre for Environmental Data Analysis. doi:10.5285/6be871bc-9572-4345-bb9a-2c42d9d85ceb. <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/6be871bc-9572-4345-bb9a-2c42d9d85ceb">http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/6be871bc-9572-4345-bb9a-2c42d9d85ceb</a></p> <p>[3] Simis, S.; Mata, A.; Selmes, N.; Carrea, L. (2021) Lake polygons dataset accompanying Calimnos v1.4.0 and ESA CCI Lakes Climate Research Data Package v2.0. zenodo https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4899250</p> <p>[4] Carrea, L.; Crétaux, J.-F.; Liu, X.; Wu, Y.; Bergé-Nguyen, M.; Calmettes, B.; Duguay, C.; Jiang, D.; Merchant, C.J.; Mueller, D.; Selmes, N.; Simis, S.; Spyrakos, E.; Stelzer, K.; Warren, M.; Yesou, H.; Zhang, D. (2022): ESA Lakes Climate Change Initiative (Lakes_cci): Lake products, Version 2.0.1. NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis <a href="https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/03c935c6890c4b2ebf4aae4d84cd9472">https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/03c935c6890c4b2ebf4aae4d84cd9472</a></p>
Data from Davison et al. (2024) Changes in Danish bird communities over four decades of climate and land-use change
<p>Environmental and biodiversity data associated with the article: <br><strong>Davison, C. W., Rahbek, C., & Morueta-Holme, N. (2024) Changes in Danish bird communities over four decades of climate and land-use change. <em>Oikos. </em></strong>https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.10697</p> <p>Data on local bird species richness, functional diversity, temporal and spatial turnover (beta diversity), abundance, and biomass at volunteer led survey routes across Denmark. Matched habitat data (from volunteers) and historical climate data (E-OBS). Bird observations are a subset of the Common Bird Monitoring programme (DOF – BirdLife Denmark) that include routes surveyed in the summer season, spanning ≥10 years, and with full GPS coordinates. This excel document contains all of the derived (and anomysied) data used in the final analyses and includes metadata describing the variables.</p> <p>Climate and trait data were obtained from open-access databases (see references). Metadata is included in the excel file.</p> <ul> <li><strong>Danish Common Bird Monitoring programme</strong> – Eskildsen, D. P., Vikstrøm, T., & Jørgensen, M. F. (2021). Overvågning af de almindelige fuglearter i Danmark 1975-2020. <em>Dansk Ornitologisk Forening</em>.</li> <li><strong>E-OBS European gridded climate data</strong> – Haylock, M. R., Hofstra, N., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Klok, E. J., Jones, P. D., & New, M. (2008). A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006. <em>Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres</em>, <em>113</em>(20). https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD010201</li> <li><strong>AVONET bird traits data</strong> – Tobias, J. A., Sheard, C., Pigot, A. L., Devenish, A. J. M., Yang, J., Neate-Clegg, M. H. C., Alioravainen, N., Weeks, T. L., Barber, R. A., Walkden, P. A., MacGregor, H. E. A., Jones, S. E. I., Vincent, C., Phillips, A. G., Marples, N. M., Montaño-Centellas, F., Leandro-Silva, V., Claramunt, S., Darski, B., … Schleunning, M. (2022). AVONET: morphological, ecological and geographical data for all birds. <em>Ecology Letters</em>, <em>25</em>(3), 581–597. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13898</li> </ul> <p> </p>
Soil organic carbon stock (0–30 cm) in kg/m2 time-series 2001–2015 based on the land cover changes
<p>Estimated SOC loss based on the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative (ESACCI-LC) land cover maps 2001–2015. This only shows estimated SOC loss (in kg/m2) as a result of change in land use / land cover (assuming standard change factors based on the literature and IPCC reports). Methodology produced for the purpose of the Land Degradation Neutrality (UNCCD) project. Processing steps are described in detail <strong><a href="https://gitlab.com/openlandmap/global-layers/tree/master/soil/LDN">here</a></strong>. Antartica is not included.</p> <p>To access and visualize maps use: <a href="http://www.openlandmap.org/">OpenLandMap.org</a></p> <p>If you discover a bug, artifact or inconsistency in the maps, or if you have a question please use some of the following channels:</p> <ul> <li>Technical issues and questions about the code: <a href="https://gitlab.com/openlandmap/global-layers/issues">https://gitlab.com/openlandmap/global-layers/issues</a> </li> <li>General questions and comments: <a href="https://disqus.com/home/forums/landgis/">https://disqus.com/home/forums/landgis/</a></li> </ul> <p>All files internally compressed using "COMPRESS=DEFLATE" creation option in GDAL. File naming convention:</p> <ul> <li>sol = theme: soil,</li> <li>organic.carbon.stock = variable: soil organic carbon stock in kg/m2,</li> <li>msa.kgm2 = determination method: derived from carbon content, bulk density and coarse fragments,</li> <li>m = mean value,</li> <li>250m = spatial resolution / block support: 250 m,</li> <li>b0..30cm = vertical reference: standard layer 0-30 cm below surface,</li> <li>2014 = time reference: year 2014,</li> <li>v0.2 = version number: 0.2,</li> </ul>
Review of existing modelling studies focusing on specific soil-based ecosystem services (SES) and threats (ST) including climate change, management and land use change scenarios.
<p><span>We </span><span>reviewed existing modelling studies focusing on soil ecosystem services (SES) and soil threats (ST) including climate change, land use change and management scenarios. A publication has been submitted and is currently being reviewed. The title of the manuscript is: </span><span>Assessing and mapping soil ecosystem services and soil threats changes in agroecosystems through scenario-based approaches – a systematic review. </span></p> <p><span>Work was split between various authors. All Co-authors were working on either one or more SES or one ST. Excel sheets were prepared by INRA and BFW to ensure the comparability of results that members extracted from the papers found. Literature search was done in Scopus and Web of Science. The final list of related publications is reported here. <br></span></p>
Associating Land Cover Changes with Climate Sensitive Infection in Fennoscandia, as part of the CLINF project: Example on Tick-Borne Diseases
<p>The data was used as part of the IJERPH article below. The GeoJSON and shapefile ZIP archive are two versions of the same geometries to represent geographically the districts whole of Fennoscandia and the Russian districts of Leningrad, St Petersburg, Vologda, Arkhangelsk, Nenetsia, Murmansk, Karelia, and Komi, making up 69 districts used for the analysis.</p> <p>Leibovici DG, Bylund H, Björkman C, Tokarevich N, Thierfelder T, Evengård B, Quegan S (2021). Associating Land Cover Changes with Patterns of Incidences of Climate Sensitive Infections: An Example on Tick-Borne Diseases in the Nordic Area. <strong><em>International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(20):10963. <a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182010963">doi:10.3390/ijerph182010963</a></em></strong></p> <p>Special Issue: <a href="https://www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph/special_issues/Climate-Change_Effects">https://www.mdpi.com/journal/ijerph/special_issues/Climate-Change_Effects</a></p> <p> </p>
Data supplement to 'Vertical land motion reconstruction unveils non-linear effects on relative sea level changes from 1900-2150'
<p>This is a data supplement to <strong>'Vertical land motion reconstruction unveils non-linear effects on relative sea level changes from 1900-2150</strong>'. It presents a global-scale Vertical Land Motion (VLM) reconstruction that resolves height changes in the period 1995-2020. It is based on the joint probabilistic analysis of an extensive network of more than 11,000 GNSS stations, tide gauges, and satellite altimetry. The approach used to derive this reconstruction is described in the paper. The dataset variables are explained in the .pdf file.</p>
Global Surface Temperature Changes over Land Dataset
<p>Annual averages of global surface temperature changes for land only based on Berkeley Earth monthly dataset above the 1951-1980 baseline. The dataset is from 1750 in °C, 3 decimal places.</p>
Supplementary material for "Long-term trends of reproductive success of black grouse Lyrurus tetrix in the southern Swiss Alps in relation to changes in climate and land use"
<p><strong>Abstract</strong></p> <p>Breeding success of an Alpine black grouse <em>Lyrurus tetrix</em> population in southern Switzerland was monitored from 1981 to 2020. This long-term dataset allows exploring relationships of reproductive rates with climate and habitat, which have shown marked changes during this period. Over the 40 years, the average elevation of black grouse breeding sites increased by around 100 m in Central/Southern Ticino but showed only a slight increase in Northern Ticino, where black grouse occur at higher elevations. Average reproductive rates in Northern Ticino remained constant throughout the study period but declined in Central/Southern Ticino. Relationships between reproductive success and weather as well as habitat variables were analysed with a multiple regression model. Temperature during the early chick-rearing phase and the time of egg-laying was positively correlated with reproductive rate. Correlations between reproductive rates and precipitation were less clear, and only small proportions of the variance in reproductive rates could be explained by precipitation. Brush forest explained the greatest amount of variation in reproductive rate (6.2%). Forest, alpine agricultural areas, and unproductive vegetation all showed a positive relationship with reproductive rate, but the proportion of the variance explained was small. Year (5.1%) and its interaction with region (2.3%) explained considerable amounts of the variance. While in Northern Ticino reproductive success did not show a negative trend when correcting for weather and habitat changes, there remained a negative trend over the years in Central/Southern Ticino. Despite the positive correlations of reproductive rate with temperature, increasing temperatures do not appear to have improved reproductive success, likely as a result of habitat changes that forced black grouse towards higher elevations. Changes in reproductive success were limited to the southern region, indicating deteriorating conditions at the edge of the distribution range.</p> <p> </p>
Data for: A severe landslide event in the Alpine foreland under possible future climate and land-use changes
<p>Data underlying manuscript and supplementary figures of the corresponding publication, as well as the scripts to conduct the final analyses.</p>
Territorial land use data relative to Pesa Basin ( Tuscany) and its recent changes ( 2016- 2007)
<p>Data and elaborations are provided by IBIMET CNR , Accademia Georgofili and <a href="http://www.cbmv.it/">Consorzio di Bonifica 3 Medio Valdarno. </a></p>
GLM2_modified and Results as used in Ma et al: Global rules for translating land-use change (LUH2) to land-cover change for CMIP6 using GLM2, Geosci. Model Dev., 2020
<p>Code modified GLM2, scripts and result as used in Ma et al 2019, Ma et al 2019, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2019-146</p>
The 30 m land cover dataset for capturing land cover changes induced by ecological restoration from 1990 to 2022 on the Chinese Loess Plateau
<p>Continuous time-series of land cover is critical for attributing runoff, sediment and carbon changes on the Chinese Loess Plateau (CLP). However, current land cover products with annal temporal resolution lack spatial identification accuracy, particularly in capturing authentic changes of cropland, forest and grassland. To address these issues, a 30 m annual land cover dataset was proposed by the Yellow River Conservancy Commission (YRCC_LPLC) for the CLP from 1990 to 2022. Different levels of land cover were classified using different combinations of spectral, monthly and annual temporal and topographic features and Random Forest classifier. Compared to other land cover products (45.64%–73.38%), the accuracy of YRCC_LPLC has a better performance with an overall accuracy of 85.16%. The YRCC_LPLC is capable of capturing not only the explicit spatial variation but also the change direction and change time of land cover, especially for the most critical conversion of cropland into forest and grassland induced by implementation of Grain to Green Program on the CLP.</p>
Model run and scenario data for study "Bioenergy-induced land-use change emissions with sectorally fragmented policies"
<p>This data archive contains model runs and data analysis files to the research article</p> <p><strong>Bioenergy-induced land-use change emissions with sectorally fragmented policies</strong></p> <p>by <em>Leon Merfort, Nico Bauer, Florian Humpenöder, David Klein, Jessica Strefler, Alexander Popp, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler</em></p> <p>published in <em>Nature Climate Change </em>(2023).</p> <p><em><strong>ModelRuns_remind </strong></em>(directory) contains all REMIND model runs of the scenarios underlying the paper.</p> <p><em><strong>ModelRuns_magpie </strong></em>(directory) contains all MAgPIE model runs of the scenarios underlying the paper.</p> <p><em><strong>DataAnalysis </strong></em>(directory) contains an RStudio Project that was used for the data analysis and the generation of the figures of the paper. It additionally contains all figures and figure data that are shown in the paper.</p> <p><em><strong>ScenarioMapping.pdf</strong></em> contains the mapping from scenario names used in the paper to the model experiment names (in the model run directories).</p>
Validation data set on land cover changes for RapidAI4EO project
<p>This is a reference data set collected for validation of the monthly land cover maps at a 3m and at a 10m resolution produced in the WP5. The reference data set has been collected by using Geo-Wiki toolbox for visual interpretation of very high-resolution images, including Planet data and Google maps. The data set has been collected over 3 AOIs. Each reference sample site corresponds to a 30m-by-30m box and includes information about monthly land cover type over the period 2018-2020. Land cover legend is the same as in ESA WorldCover map at a 10m resolution (https://worldcover2021.esa.int/).</p> <p>Fields:</p> <p>"rowid" – unique row identifier;</p> <p>"sampleid" – unique sample site identifier in the Geo-Wiki database;</p> <p>"samplegroupid" – group id with values 257(Portugal), 258 (Belgium), 259(Sicily);</p> <p>"x_min","x_max","y_min","y_max" – bounding box coordinates of each sample site (30m x 30m), in WGS84</p> <p>"X2018_1","X2018_2",…, "X2020_12" – dominant land cover class in each sample site in each month from January 2018 to December 2020;</p> <p>Land cover codes:</p> <p>10 – Tree cover</p> <p>20 - Shrubland</p> <p>30 - Grassland</p> <p>40 - Cropland</p> <p>50 – Urban/built-up</p> <p>60 - Bare/Sparse vegetation</p> <p>80 - Water</p> <p>90 - Wetland</p> <p>110 - Burnt</p> <p>120 – Not sure</p>
Direct and indirect effects of climate and land use change on food webs in lakes and streams
<p>Here, we provide the data and code necessary to reproduce the workflow and analysis in: Barbosa and Siqueira. Direct and indirect effects of climate and land use change on food webs in lakes and streams. A preprint is available at https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.04.18.488700</p> <p>We compiled multicontinental data to investigate how climate and land use change are related to the structure of freshwater food webs, considering the inherent differences in lentic and lotic ecosystems. We analyzed the direct and indirect relationships between land use intensity, and temperature and precipitation changes, and food webs using multi-group structural equation modeling. Freshwater food webs were obtained from three sources: the Mangal interaction database, using the rmangal package in R, the GlobAl databasE of traits and food Web Architecture (GATEWAY) version 1.0, and the Interaction Web Data Base (IWDB). We also included food webs acquired from a search in the Web of Science Core Collection. Land use data was compiled from the global ESA CCI database, an annually generated land cover product at 300 m resolution for the period 1992 – 2015. Climate data was compiled from the TerraClimate database, a monthly generated product for climate and climatic water balance for global terrestrial surfaces at ~ 4 km for the period 1958 – 2015. </p>
ScienceDex guides
Understand access before you commit
These curated guides explain access requirements, typical timelines, costs, and reuse considerations for widely used research datasets.
Allen Brain Atlas
Allen Brain Atlas is an Allen Institute collection of brain map atlases, datasets, APIs, and analysis tools covering mouse, human, and non-human primate brain resources.
Annotated Behaviour and Observability Dataset (ABODe)
ABODe is a University of Edinburgh DataShare dataset for behavior classification in group-housed mice using home-cage video, identities, bounding boxes, ground-plate positions, and annotator labels.
DANDI Archive for NWB datasets
DANDI is a BRAIN Initiative archive for publishing and sharing neurophysiology data, including electrophysiology, optophysiology, and behavioral data packaged as NWB and related standards.
International Brain Laboratory public data
The International Brain Laboratory public data releases expose standardized mouse decision-making experiments, including Neuropixels recordings, widefield calcium imaging, behavior, and session metadata accessed through the ONE API.
OpenNeuro
OpenNeuro is a free, open platform for sharing neuroimaging datasets, with public search, dataset pages, and download paths for web, S3, DataLad, and the OpenNeuro CLI.