Fig. 2 Projected future changes for Dermacentor reticulatus until 2080–2100. a SSP 126. b SSP 245. c SSP 370. d SSP 585 in Ticks on the move-climate change-induced range shifts of three tick species in Europe: current and future habitat suitability for Ixodes ricinus in comparison with Dermacentor reticulatus and Dermacentor marginatus

Fig. 2 Projected future changes for Dermacentor reticulatus until 2080–2100. a SSP 126. b SSP 245. c SSP 370. d SSP 585. In dark blue: area projected as suitable under current climatic conditions but unsuitable under future climatic conditions (i.e., potential extinction). In light blue: area projected as unsuitable under current climatic conditions as well as under future climatic conditions (i.e., stable absence). In orange: area projected as suitable under current climatic conditions as well as under future climatic conditions (i.e., stable range). In red: area projected as unsuitable under current climatic conditions but suitable under future climatic conditions (i.e., potential new range). AUC = 0.8333 (average over 10 replicates using cross-validation, standard deviation = 0.001113603). Threshold to transform the logistic model output: 0.3816 (10% omission rate threshold). Maps were built using ESRI ArcGIS (Release 10.7, www.esri.com). Projection: Europe Albers Equal Area Conic