Age dependent incidence rates (2)

<p>Figure 4 shows the sex-specific logarithmic incidence depending on age (50 to 90 years) for the period from 2011 to 2019. Across all evaluated years we found both, an age-dependent, exponential increase in the incidence rates for both sexes and a distinct increase in incidences in the young age groups of women (about tenfold increase in incidences up to 2019) . Up to the age of about 70 years, men show a higher incidence rate for long-term care than women in 2011. For people older than 70 years, the ratio changes, with a higher incidence of needing long-term care for women than for men. This point of intersection of the incidence rates was evident in all plots of the time course (table 2). We see a left shift, to younger age groups, between 2011 and 2019 and from this age (intersection point) onwards the incidence for women exceeds that of men. In addition to that, the incidence in the scenario with higher mortality rate ratios (scenario 1) is always above the curve from the scenario with lower mortality rate ratios (scenario 2). We also see that the gap between the incidences increases with age.</p>