Fig. 4 in Climate-driven variation in dispersal ability predicts responses to forest fragmentation in birds

Fig. 4 | Dispersallimitation (nHWI) explainsvariationinfragmentation sensitivity.Resultsof Bayesianphylogeneticmixed-effect modelspredicting fragmentationsensitivityforall 1,564 birdpopulations (n = 1,034 species). Populationswereclassifiedasfragmentationsensitiveiftheywereidentifiedas 'Forest-core' by BIOFRAG. Restrictedanalysisassignedfragmentationsensitivity onlyto 'Forestspecialists' (a); Expandedanalysisassignedfragmentation sensitivitytoboth ' Forestspecialist' and ' Forestassociated' species (b; see Methods).Bayesianposteriordistributionisshownabovetheline;effect-siZe estimateswithcredibleintervals (CI) arebelowtheline (thickerrorbars,68%; thinerrorbars,95%).HigheffectsiZesindicateapositiveassociationwith fragmentationsensitivity;loweffectsiZesindicateanegativeassociation. Historicaldisturbanceisabinaryvariable (1/0) calculatedusingalldisturbance layers (forestloss,glaciation,stormsandfires).