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5 results for “2023 Forecast”
Dataset and plot generation script for article "Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high precipitation events : optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits" by Francois Bouttier and Hugo Marchal, submitted in Dec 2023.
<p>Dataset and plot generation script for article "Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high precipitation events : optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits" by Francois Bouttier and Hugo Marchal, submitted in NHESS journal in Dec 2023.</p> <p>For further technical details read the file READMEdata in the zipfile. The script MAKEFIG remakes all the figures from the data.</p> <p>For scientific details read the associated article preprint on the NHESS egusphere website.</p>
MERICS China Forecast Conference 2023
<p>This is the YouTube Livestream of the 4th MERICS China Forecast Conference which was hosted on Wednesday, January 18, 2023.</p> <p>2023 will be a critical year for China. Following the sudden about-turn in Beijing’s Covid-19 policies, the country is currently struggling with an unprecedented health crisis. The economy is in deep trouble. At the same time, Xi Jinping looks set to hardwire the political agenda he pushed through at the historic 20th Party Congress in October and establish a new leadership team at the National People’s Congress in spring. Internationally, Beijing is also facing multiple challenges, including its relationship with the US, its "no-limits" partnership with Russia and a re-calibration of China policies across Europe. To anticipate what 2023 might have in store for us, we hosted the 4th MERICS China Forecast conference on Wednesday, January 18, 2023, in collaboration with our media partner Handelsblatt. MERICS presented findings from our annual survey among leading European experts and professionals and among a wider global audience on key developments in Europe-China relations. A prominent line-up of high-level speakers shared and discussed their expectations for the turbulent year ahead, including China’s political and economic trajectory and challenges for European governments and companies.</p> <p>The MERICS China Forecast 2023 has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 101061700.</p> <p>Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.</p>
Data for "Human judgement forecasting of COVID-19 in the UK" by Bosse et. al (2023)
<p>Data used in the paper "Human judgement forecasting of COVID-19 in the UK" by Bosse et. al (2023). All code for the paper can be found at https://github.com/epiforecasts/uk-crowd-forecasting-challenge. </p>
MERICS Podcast: Assessing the MERICS China Forecast 2023, with Roderick Kefferpütz
<p>2023 will be a critical year for China. The party leadership around Xi Jinping is faced with an unprecedented health crisis and a troubled economy, and needs to balance relationships with the US and Europe while upholding its "no-limits" partnership with Russia.</p><p>To anticipate what 2023 might have in store for us, MERICS conducted the <a href="https://www.merics.org/en/short-analysis/chinas-precarious-path-forward-insights-merics-china-forecast-2023">4th MERICS China Forecast Survey</a> involving 880 China experts and members of the public. In a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a5OVDoXWzak">conference on January 18, 2023</a>, our experts and a line-up of high-level speakers discussed the survey's findings and their expectations.</p><p><strong>Roderick Kefferpütz</strong>, Senior Analyst at MERICS who led the compilation of this year's forecast, joins <strong>Johannes Heller-John</strong> to discuss the results.</p>
MERICS China Forecast Survey 2023
<p>This is the survey data of the MERICS China Forecast 2023.</p>
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