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4 results for “Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)”
Data and literature repository for "Climate Futures are Political Futures: Integrating Political Development Into the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)"
<p>The datasets provided in the repository (listed in Table 1 of the manuscript):</p> <ul> <li>Governance (Andrijevic et al., 2020)*</li> <li>Government effectiveness (Andrijevic et al., 2020)*</li> <li>Violent conflict (Hegre et al., 2016)</li> <li>Rule of law (update to the Soergel et al., 2021)</li> </ul> <p>*Please note that these two variables can be found in the same data file.<br><br></p> <p>The indicators can also be retrieved through the <a href="https://ssp-extensions.apps.ece.iiasa.ac.at/">SSP Extensions Explorer.</a> <br><br><strong><br>For applications of the projections of political indicators in further analyses, please consult the following references: </strong> </p> <p>Brutschin, E., Pianta, S., Tavoni, M., Riahi, K., Bosetti, V., Marangoni, G., & Van Ruijven, B. J. <a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abf0ce/meta">A multidimensional feasibility evaluation of low-carbon scenarios.</a> <em>Environmental Research Letters </em>2021, <em>16</em>(6), 064069.</p> <p>Gidden MJ, Brutschin E, Ganti G, Unlu G, Zakeri B, Fricko O<em>, et al. </em><a title="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acd8d5" href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acd8d5">Fairness and feasibility in deep mitigation pathways with novel carbon dioxide removal considering institutional capacity to mitigate</a>. <em>Environmental Research Letters </em>2023, <strong>18</strong>(7)<strong>: </strong>074006. </p> <p>Hoch JM, de Bruin SP, Buhaug H, Von Uexkull N, van Beek R, Wanders N. <a title="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3db2" href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3db2">Projecting armed conflict risk in Africa towards 2050 along the SSP-RCP scenarios: a machine learning approach</a>. <em>Environmental Research Letters </em>2021, <strong>16</strong>(12)<strong>: </strong>124068. </p> <p>Joshi DK, Hughes BB, Sisk TD. <a title="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0305750X15000145" href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0305750X15000145">Improving governance for the Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals: Scenario forecasting the next 50 years</a>. <em>World Development </em>2015, <strong>70: </strong>286-302. </p> <p>Moyer JD. <a title="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X23000062" href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X23000062">Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty</a>. <em>World Development </em>2023, <strong>165: </strong>106188. </p> <p>Moyer JD, Turner SD, Meisel CJ. <a title="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0022343320929740" href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0022343320929740">What are the drivers of diplomacy? Introducing and testing new annual dyadic data measuring diplomatic exchange</a>. <em>Journal of Peace Research </em>2021, <strong>58</strong>(6)<strong>: </strong>1300-1310. </p> <p>Petrova, K, Olafsdottir, G, Hegre, H, Gilmore, EA (2023). <a title="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acb163" href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/acb163">The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways</a>. <em>Environmental Research Letters</em>, 2023, <strong>18</strong>(2), 024028. </p>
Model simulation data used in "The global impact of the transport sectors on the atmospheric aerosol and the resulting climate effects under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)" (Righi et al., Earth Syst. Dynam., 2023)
<p>This dataset contains the output of the EMAC global model simulations analysed and discussed in Righi et al. (<i>Earth Syst. Dynam.</i>, 2023). For details see the README.md file.</p>
Global Transportation Demand Dataset using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Scenario Framework
<p>We use historical data for the land-based passenger (in passenger-kilometers (km)) across 38 countries and freight transport (in tonne-km) for 43 countries between 1990 and 2018 from the Transport Outlook of the International Transport Forum (ITF) transport database, to investigate the key drivers of transport energy demand <em><strong>source</strong>: ITF. (2019). ITF Transport Outlook 2019. ITF Transport Outlook 2019. <a href="https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/transport/itf-transport-outlook-2019_transp_outlook-en-2019-en">https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/transport/itf-transport-outlook-2019_transp_outlook-en-2019-en</a></em></p> <p>We collect the historical socioeconomic variables from the World Bank’s global open data bank <em><strong>source</strong>: World Bank. (2020). Data Bank: World Development Indicators. <a href="https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators">https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators</a></em></p> <p>For this scenario analysis, we rely on the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) from the IIASA database (Riahi et al., 2017). <em><strong>source: </strong>Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., … Tavoni, M. (2017). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change, 42, 153–168. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009</a> Available Online: <a href="https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=about">https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=about</a></em></p> <p>The lack of data disaggregated by country and end-use sector in countries of interest was a significant drawback in the data collection process. We make a crucial assumption in this modeling exercise that historical demand profiles in developing countries track the global average per capita transport trends. Therefore, the resulting estimates are indicative and must be interpreted within this analysis's scope given the future is unknown and highly uncertain.</p> <p> </p> <p> </p> <p> </p> <p> </p>
Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Literature Database, v1, 2014-2019
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) Literature Database, v1, 2014-2019 consists of biographic information, abstracts, and analysis of 1,360 articles published from 2014 to 2019 that used the SSPs. The database was generated from a Google Scholar search, followed by a manual examination of the results for papers that made substantial use of the SSPs. Each paper was then coded along a number of different dimensions, including categories of types of papers or analysis, number of subcategories for SSP Applications and SSP Extensions, particular Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) used, particular Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) used, and particular SSP-RCP combinations used. Over the past ten years, the climate change research commUnity developed a scenario framework combining alternative futures of climate and society to facilitate integrated research and consistent assessment to inform policy. This framework consists of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), and Shared Policy Assumptions (SPAs), which together describe alternative visions of how society and climate may evolve over the coming decades, while providing a framework for combining these pathways in integrated studies. The tracking of the use of this framework in the literature allows for assessment of how it is being used, whether it is achieving its original goals, and what improvements to the framework would benefit future research.
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