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108 results for “asynchrony”
MCR LTER: Coral Reef: Asynchrony in coral community structure contributes to reef‑scale community stability, data for Srednick et al., Nature 2023
These data were generated in support of the manuscript: Srednick G, Davis K, and Edmunds P, Nature To evaluate whether spatial insurance effects are important on coral reefs, we explored variation over 2006–2019 in coral community structure and environmental conditions in Moorea, French Polynesia. We studied coral community structure at a single site with fringing, back reef, and fore reef habitats, and used this system to explore associations among community asynchrony, asynchrony of environmental conditions, and community stability. The daily range in seawater temperature among habitats suggests it could be a factor contributing to the variation in coral community structure. Wave-forced seawater flow facilitated larval exchange among connected habitats, differing in strength among years, and accentuated periodic connectivity among habitats at 1-7 year intervals. At this site, connected habitats harboring taxonomically similar coral assemblages and exhibiting asynchronous population dynamics can provide insurance against extirpation and may promote community stability. If these effects apply at larger spatial scale, then among-habitat community asynchrony is likely to play an important role in determining reef-wide coral community resilience. This manuscript uses data collected by the U.S. National Science Foundation's (NSF) Moorea Coral Reef Long Term Ecological Research (MCR LTER) site under Grant No. OCE 2224354 (and earlier awards). Additional financial support to the MCR LTER site was provided through a generous gift from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation. Research was completed under permits issued by the French Polynesian Government (Délégation à la Recherche) and the Haut-commissariat de la République en Polynésie Francaise (DTRT) (Protocole d'Accueil 2005-2023).
MCR LTER: Coral Reef: Spatial portfolios in coral metapopulations are shaped by spatiotemporal asynchrony in environmental conditions; Data for Srednick et al., 2026 Ecology Letters
Using wavelet analyses of a 19-year coral community timeseries from Moorea, French Polynesia, we quantified timescale-specific population synchrony in four common coral genera and evaluated the predictors of spatial portfolio effects. We detected synchrony within genera associated with synchrony in degree heating days, diurnal temperature range (DTR), and macroalgal cover at different timescales. Synchrony in DTR and macroalgal cover was associated with lower synchrony of Pocillopora and Porites populations, respectively. Population (for three of four genera) and environmental synchrony were stronger within than among habitats across timescales, underscoring the role of habitat-specific conditions in driving spatial synchrony and spatial portfolios. These results describe how the spatial and temporal scales of heterogeneity in environmental and ecological conditions determine synchrony in coral population dynamics and support a spatial portfolio effect, which may buffer coral metapopulations from island-scale collapse. Data in support of analyses for: Spatial portfolios in coral metapopulations are shaped by spatiotemporal asynchrony in environmental conditions. Published in Ecology Letters 2026.
Impact of climate warming on phenological asynchrony of plankton dynamics across Europe
<p>This dataset includes all data as well as the scripts used to produce figures from both the main text and the supporting information from Gronchi et al. (2023) "Impact of climate warming on phenological asynchrony of plankton dynamics across Europe".</p> <p> </p> <p>Detailed description:</p> <p>Data_TDM_Validation.csv: file containing observed versus simulated timings of TDM for 18 lakes of western Europe.</p> <p>result_full_reference.mat and result_full_const_4C_warming.mat contain the 31-years medians of the lake phenologies for the 16 different simulated lake types and for both the reference and the constant +4°C climate scenario.</p> <p>The two scripts Plot_Fig_1_and_3.m and Plot_Supplement.m are responsible for the production, after treatment of the data, of figures 1 and 3 from the main text and most of the supplement respectively. These scripts include a detailed description of the variables used for producing these figures.</p> <p>Figures 2, 4, S1, S2 and S3 were done with R. For each of these figures there is their respective R script and the reorganized dataset used to produce them.</p> <p> </p> <p>Because of the large size of the inputs and outputs files analyzed in this study we only included the scripts (Output_Generation_Example.m and lakelayerdepth_1.m) and the data ( Meteo_Era_52.5_13.5.dat; Z30_ST00_KW06_52.5_13.5.LST Z30_ST00_KW06_52.5_13.5.Temp) necessary for generation of the phenology medians for one specific lake type at the reference scenario as example. The full dataset (~4To) can be given upon request.</p> <p>Ackowledgment: This product includes color specifications and designs developed by Cynthia Brewer (http://colorbrewer.org/)</p> <p> </p> <p> </p>
Data from: Why are plant communities stable? Disentangling the role of dominance, asynchrony and averaging effect following realistic species loss scenario
<p>A growing number of studies have demonstrated that biodiversity is a strong and positive predictor of ecosystem temporal stability by simultaneously affecting multiple underlying mechanisms of stability <em>i.e.</em> dominance, asynchrony, and averaging effects. However, to date, no study has disentangled the relative role of these key mechanisms of stability in biodiversity experiments. We created a species richness gradient by mimicking a loss of rare species and assessed the role of species richness on community stability and, more importantly, quantified the relative role of three stabilizing mechanisms <em>i.e.</em> dominance (stabilization due to stable dominants compared to the rest of the species in the community), asynchrony (stabilization due to temporal asynchrony between species), and averaging effects (pure effect of diversity) on community stability across a species richness gradient. We found that extreme species loss negatively impacted community stability, but just three species were enough to stabilize biomass production to a level similar to highly diverse communities. However, the similar stability of communities resulted from differing contributions from each stability mechanism, depending on the community diversity. Since less abundant species were more temporally variable, species loss stabilized the populations of the remaining species. The loss of rare and subordinate species reduced the dominance and averaging effects, but increased the asynchrony effect. Hence, the asynchrony effect played a major role in the stability of species poor communities, while the averaging effect drove most of the stability of species rich communities. Overall, dominance played only a minor role, accounting for 5-15% of the stabilization, while asynchrony and averaging effects were dominating forces contributing to ~ 85-95% of the total stabilization.</p> <p><em>Synthesis</em>. This study highlights the importance of biodiversity and roles of dominant and rare species for long-term community stability and, for the first time, disentangles relative roles of dominance effect, asynchrony, and averaging effect on community stability in a real-world biodiversity experiment.</p>
Prevalence of endoepicardial asynchrony and breakthrough patterns in a bilayer computational model of heterogeneous endoepicardial dissociation in the left atrium
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Barriers decouple population dynamics of riverine fish, and asynchrony of subpopulations promotes stability within fragments
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Microclimatic variability buffers butterfly populations against increased mortality caused by phenological asynchrony between larvae and their host plants
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Warming enhances the negative impact of shrubs on community stability via reducing species asynchrony
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From lagging to leading: Increased phenological asynchrony in a Batesian mimicry complex
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Data from: Why are plant communities stable? Disentangling the role of dominance, asynchrony and averaging effect following realistic species loss scenario
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Temporal asynchrony of plant and soil biota determines ecosystem multifunctional stability
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Population asynchrony within and between trophic levels have contrasting effects on consumer community stability in a subtropical lake
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Demographic consequences of phenological asynchrony for North American songbirds
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Data from: Climate and local environment structure asynchrony and the stability of primary production in grasslands
<p><b>Aim</b>: Climate variability threatens to destabilize production in many ecosystems. Asynchronous species dynamics may buffer against such variability when decreased performance by some species is offset by increased performance of others. However, high climatic variability can eliminate species through stochastic extinctions or cause similar stress responses among species, reducing buffering. Local conditions, such as soil nutrients, can further alter production stability directly or by influencing asynchrony. We test these hypotheses using a globally distributed sampling experiment.</p> <p><b>Location</b>: Grasslands in North America, Europe and Australia.</p> <p><b>Time period</b>: Annual surveys over five-year intervals occurring between 2007 and 2014.</p> <p><b>Major taxa studied</b>: Herbaceous plants.</p> <p><b>Methods</b>: We annually sampled per-species cover and aboveground community biomass (net primary productivity; NPP), plus soil chemical properties, in twenty-nine grasslands. We tested how soil conditions, combined with precipitation and temperature variability, affect species richness, asynchrony and temporal stability of primary productivity. We used bivariate relationships and structural equation modeling to examine proximate and ultimate relationships.</p> <p><b>Results</b>: Climate variability strongly predicted asynchrony, whereas NPP stability was more related to soil conditions. Species richness was structured by both climate variability and soils, and in turn increased asynchrony. Temperature and precipitation variability caused a unimodal asynchrony response, with asynchrony lowest at low and high climate variability. Climate impacted stability indirectly through its effect on asynchrony, with stability increasing at higher asynchrony due to lower inter-annual NPP variability. Soil conditions had no detectable effect on asynchrony but increased stability by increasing mean NPP, especially when soil organic matter was high.</p> <p><b>Main Conclusions</b>: We found globally consistent evidence that climate modulates species asynchrony, but that the direct effect on stability is low relative to local soil conditions. Nonetheless, our observed unimodal responses to temperature and precipitation variability suggest asynchrony thresholds, beyond which there are detectable destabilizing impacts of climate on primary productivity.</p>
What drives temporal stability of biomass production? Testing the roles of species diversity, dominance, asynchrony and spatial scale in annual plant communities
<p><span><b><span>Aims:</span></b><span> Primary biomass production is a fundamental process for ecosystem functioning. Yet, little is known on the mechanisms driving temporal stability of biomass production in annual plant communities, particularly in communities </span>subjected to highly variable environments and undergoing temporal changes in species composition.<span> We aimed to disentangle </span>the relative importance of biomass production, species <span>diversity, dominance and asynchrony of species fluctuations as drivers of biomass stability in Mediterranean and semiarid annual plant communities. </span></span></p> <p><span><b><span>Location:</span></b><span> Mediterranean (</span><span>N31<sup>o</sup>42'; E35<sup>o</sup>03') and Semiarid (N31<sup>o</sup>23'; E34<sup>o</sup>54') sites, Israel.</span></span></p> <p><span><b><span>Methods:</span></b><span> Aboveground biomass and species abundance were monitored in 15 plots of 250m<sup>2</sup> per site during eight consecutive years. Relationships between stability drivers and community stability were studied at the regional (between-sites) and local (within-sites) spatial scales.</span></span></p> <p><span><b><span>Results:</span></b><span> Community biomass stability (temporal mean/SD) increased from the Semiarid to the Mediterranean site concomitantly with higher </span>biomass production, richness, and evenness, but was not associated with changes in species synchrony. Differences in stability between sites were due to opposite effects of site conditions on the mean and SD of community biomass, leading to higher stability in the Mediterranean site. Within sites, species asynchrony was the key driver of stability at the local spatial-scale. Richness and biomass production affected stability indirectly through asynchrony, but in different ways at each site. At the Mediterranean site, these factors had indirect negative effects on stability by reducing asynchrony, but did not rescind a positive effect of asynchrony on community stability. At the Semiarid site, biomass production had indirect positive effects on stability through asynchrony, while richness had no effect on asynchrony and stability. Stability was not driven by species evenness in either site. </span></p> <p><span><b><span>Conclusions: </span></b>Our study provides new insights into the complex control of biomass stability in the dynamics of <span>Mediterranean and semiarid annual plant communities, with d</span>ifferent mechanisms driving stability across the regional <i>vs.</i> local spatial scales. </span></p>
Data from: Asynchrony between ant seed dispersal activity and fruit dehiscence of myrmecochorous plants
Phenological mismatch has received attention in plant-pollinator interactions, but less so in seed dispersal mutualisms. We investigated whether the seasonal availability of myrmecochorous seeds is well matched to the seasonal activity patterns of seed-dispersing ants. Methods We compared seasonal timing of seed removal by a keystone seed-dispersing ant, Aphaenogaster rudis, and fruit dehiscence of several species of plants whose seeds it disperses in a deciduous forest in southern Ontario, Canada. We examined the timing of elaiosome 'robbing' by the non-native slug, Arion subfuscus, and tested whether seed removal by ants declines in response to supplementation with additional elaiosome-bearing seeds (ant "satiation"). Key Results Seed removal from experimental depots peaked early in the season for all plant species, and that seed removal correlated with temperature. In contrast, elaiosome robbing by slugs increased late in the season and thus may disproportionately affect plants with late-dehiscing fruits. Ant colonies removed seeds at similar rates regardless of seed supplementation, indicating that satiation likely does not impact seasonal patterns of seed dispersal in this system. Fruits of the five myrmecochorous plant species in our study dehisced at discrete intervals throughout the season, with minimal overlap among species. Peak dehiscence did not overlap with peak seed removal for any plant species. Conclusions Fruit dehiscence of myrmecochorous plants and peak ant seed dispersal activity occur asynchronously. Whether future climate warming will shift ant and plant phenologies in ways that have consequences for seed dispersal remains an open question. In compliance with data protection regulations, please contact the publication office if you would like to have your personal information removed from the database.
Population asynchrony alone does not explain stability in species rich soil animal assemblages: the stabilising role of forest age on oribatid mite communities
<p>1. The importance of microbial and plant communities in the control of the diversity and structure of soil animal communities has been clarified over the last decade. Previous research focused on abiotic factors, niche separation and spatial patterns. Significant gaps still exist in our knowledge of the factors that control the stability of these communities over time.</p> <p>2. We analysed a nine-year data set form the national Long-term Ecological Research Network of Latvia. We focused on 117 oribatid species from three Scots pine forests of different age (<40 yrs, 65 yrs, and >150 yrs) and structure. For each forest type, 100 samples were collected each year, providing very high replication and long of time series for a soil community. We assessed different aspects of stability: we used a dynamic null model, parametrised on observed growth rates, to test the hypothesis that asynchrony in species populations stabilises total community size; we also analysed alpha and beta diversity over time to test the hypothesis that temporal variation in species composition and relative abundances is controlled by forest attributes.</p> <p>3. Real communities can be more stable than their stochastic counterparts if species are asynchronous, confirming for the first time the role of asynchrony in stabilising soil communities. Yet, while some real communities were more stable and had higher abundance and growth rates than others, they were not necessarily more asynchronous than the less stable communities. Species composition and relative abundances were also less variable in the more stable communities.</p> <p>4. Species asynchrony generally stabilises species rich communities but is not sufficient to explain different levels of stability between forests. Forest age is a key factor explaining different levels of overyielding and so stability. Data suggests that both asynchrony and high diversity of microhabitat structure of Scots pine forests promote stability of soil animal communities.</p>
Data from: Asynchrony of seasons: genetic differentiation associated with geographic variation in climatic seasonality and reproductive phenology
Many organisms exhibit distinct breeding seasons tracking food availability. If conspecific populations inhabit areas that experience different temporal cycles in food availability spurred by variation in precipitation regimes, then they should display asynchronous breeding seasons. Thus, such populations might exhibit a temporal barrier to gene flow, which may potentially promote genetic differentiation. We test a central prediction of this hypothesis, namely, that individuals living in areas with more asynchronous precipitation regimes should be more genetically differentiated than individuals living in areas with more similar precipitation regimes. Using mitochondrial DNA sequences, climatic data, and geographical/ecological distances between individuals of 57 New World bird species mostly from the tropics, we examined the effect of asynchronous precipitation (a proxy for asynchronous resource availability) on genetic differentiation. We found evidence for a positive and significant cross-species effect of precipitation asynchrony on genetic distance after accounting for geographical/ecological distances, suggesting that current climatic conditions may play a role in population differentiation. Spatial asynchrony in climate may thus drive evolutionary divergence in the absence of overt geographic barriers to gene flow; this mechanism contrasts with those invoked by most models of biotic diversification emphasizing physical or ecological changes to the landscape as drivers of divergence.
Data from: Species asynchrony and response diversity determine multifunctional stability of natural grasslands
1. A growing body of empirical evidence has suggested that biodiversity affects the simultaneous performance of multiple ecosystem functions (that is, ecosystem multifunctionality). Given increasing environmental variability and uncertainty under global change, an emerging question is how biodiversity influences the stability of multiple functions (that is, multifunctional stability). We currently know little, however, about the determinants and mechanisms of multifunctional stability, which is of practical importance for ensuring the sustainable provision of multiple functions. 2. Here we examined mechanisms contributing to stability (quantified as the ratio of the mean to the standard deviation) of multiple functions related to ecosystem productivity and carbon sequestration, including plant aboveground and belowground productivity, litter production, gross primary productivity, and ecosystem respiration, in a large grassland biodiversity experiment in Inner Mongolia. 3. We found that community-wide species asynchrony was a strong driver to stabilize multiple functions. Community-wide asynchrony mediated the positive effects of species richness and response diversity (describing how species with similar effects on ecosystem function respond differently to environmental change) on multifunctional stability. However, species richness had a negative direct effect on multifunctional stability because, although it increased the averaged temporal mean of multiple functions, it strongly increased the averaged temporal standard deviation of multiple functions. The overall effects of species richness on multifunctional stability were thus negative, whereas those of response diversity were positive. 4. Synthesis. The studied ecosystem functions related to ecosystem productivity and carbon sequestration are important in natural grasslands across the world. We conclude that species asynchrony and response diversity, rather than species richness, are key to the ecosystem multifunctional stability. The loss of response diversity and compensatory mechanisms would likely reduce the long-term sustainability of grasslands in the face of global change.
Data from: Asynchrony, density dependence, and persistence in an amphibian
<p>The wood frog (<em>Rana sylvatica</em> = <em>Lithobates sylvaticus</em>) is a common, early-spring breeding anuran species in the United States and Canada. Females typically lay their egg masses in concentrated areas of a few meters over several days. Most female wood frogs mature after two years. Each female lays one egg mass in a given year, and most show high (~100%) site fidelity after first breeding, although a small portion of juveniles disperse up to 2000 m away from their natal site before their first breeding season. The lifespan of wood frogs depends on latitude, but they rarely live longer than five years. From 2000 to 2020 we conducted wood frog egg mass counts in 64 freshwater nonpermanent wetlands in the 3212 hectare Yale-Myers Forest in northeastern Connecticut, USA. The wetlands varied in surface area (average = 2642 m<sup>2</sup>, range = 24–41361 m<sup>2</sup>, CV = 252), canopy closure (i.e., global site factor; average = 52%, range = 0–98%, CV = 68), depth (average = 52 cm, range = 22–118, CV = 46), and egg mass counts (average = 71, range = 0–1113, CV = 130). As each female only lays one egg mass per year (i.e., only produces one clutch) and site fidelity is high, egg mass counts offer an accurate proxy for the number of breeding females within a pond in a given year. Previous work indicates egg mass counts are an accurate and precise technique for monitoring wood frog populations.</p>
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