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4 results for “tag recovery”
Prior choice and data requirements of Bayesian multivariate mixed effects models fit to tag-recovery data: The need for power analyses
<p>1. Recent empirical studies have quantified correlation between survival and recovery by estimating these parameters as correlated random effects with hierarchical Bayesian multivariate models fit to tag-recovery data. In these applications, increasingly negative correlation between survival and recovery has been interpreted as evidence for increasingly additive harvest mortality. The power of these hierarchal models to detect non-zero correlations has rarely been evaluated and these few studies have not focused on tag-recovery data, which is a common data type.</p> <p>2. We assessed the power of multivariate hierarchical models to detect negative correlation between annual survival and recovery. Using three priors for multivariate normal distributions, we fit hierarchical effects models to a mallard (<em>Anas</em> <em>platyrhychos</em>) tag-recovery dataset and to simulated data with sample sizes corresponding to different levels of monitoring intensity. We also demonstrate more robust summary statistics for tag-recovery datasets than total individuals tagged.</p> <p>3. Different priors lead to substantially different estimates of correlation from the mallard data. Our power analysis of simulated data indicated most prior distribution and sample size combinations could not estimate strongly negative correlation with useful precision or accuracy. Many correlation estimates spanned the available parameter space (–1,1) and underestimated the magnitude of negative correlation. Only one prior combined with our most intensive monitoring scenario provided reliable results. Underestimating the magnitude of correlation coincided with overestimating the variability of annual survival, but not annual recovery.</p> <p>4. The inadequacy of prior distributions and sample size combinations previously assumed adequate for obtaining robust inference from tag-recovery data represents a concern in the application of Bayesian hierarchical models to tag-recovery data. Our analysis approach provides a means for examining prior influence and sample size on hierarchical models fit to capture-recapture data while emphasizing transferability of results between empirical and simulation studies.</p>
Prior choice and data requirements of Bayesian multivariate mixed effects models fit to tag-recovery data: The need for power analyses
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Data from: Accounting for tagging-to-harvest mortality in a Brownie tag-recovery model by incorporating radio-telemetry data
The Brownie tag-recovery model is useful for estimating harvest rates but assumes all tagged individuals survive to the first hunting season; otherwise, mortality between time of tagging and the hunting season will cause the Brownie estimator to be negatively biased. Alternatively, fitting animals with radio transmitters can be used to accurately estimate harvest rate but may be more costly. We developed a joint model to estimate harvest and annual survival rates that combines known-fate data from animals fitted with transmitters to estimate the probability of surviving the period from capture to the first hunting season, and data from reward-tagged animals in a Brownie tag-recovery model. We evaluated bias and precision of the joint estimator, and how to optimally allocate effort between animals fitted with radio transmitters and inexpensive ear tags or leg bands. Tagging-to-harvest survival rates from >20 individuals with radio transmitters combined with 50–100 reward tags resulted in an unbiased and precise estimator of harvest rates. In addition, the joint model can test whether transmitters affect an individual's probability of being harvested. We illustrate application of the model using data from wild turkey, Meleagris gallapavo, to estimate harvest rates, and data from white-tailed deer, Odocoileus virginianus, to evaluate whether the presence of a visible radio transmitter is related to the probability of a deer being harvested. The joint known-fate tag-recovery model eliminates the requirement to capture and mark animals immediately prior to the hunting season to obtain accurate and precise estimates of harvest rate. In addition, the joint model can assess whether marking animals with radio transmitters affects the individual's probability of being harvested, caused by hunter selectivity or changes in a marked animal's behavior.
Data from: Accounting for tagging-to-harvest mortality in a Brownie tag-recovery model by incorporating radio-telemetry data
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